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To: ansel12

I have to disagree.

The folks doing those predictions, at least some of them, were using forecasting tools used every day in hospitals and research labs all over the world.

The variables such as intervention or the insertion of better meds are difficult to predict without a lot more info.

I think the more conservative estimates had it at 15k by Dec 1. Those appear to be accurate.

The other thing is that the CDC has stopped reporting in tests or monitoring. But we are starting to see more reports again.

But for the next couple of weeks the Ebola story will be #3 or 4 on the hit parade after Obama, Furgeson, and ISIL.


24 posted on 11/20/2014 7:12:22 PM PST by Vermont Lt (Ebola: Death is a lagging indicator.)
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To: Vermont Lt

What are you disagreeing with me about in posts 3 and post 16 about the absurd predictions I mentioned?

Post 3 says “So far it looks like the predictions of some posters that ran up to 6 billion by June of 2016, may have been too high.” and post 16 says”100% of the earth’s population infected by December of next year.”


25 posted on 11/20/2014 7:23:25 PM PST by ansel12
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