They’re doubling every 3 weeks currently.
>>They’re doubling every 3 weeks currently.
The “official double” from 3Kto 6K in WHO data has not happened yet.
It likely will happen by the next WHO report on Thursday of this week.
I think both Liberian and Sierra Leone data is getting increasigly...unreliable.
IMO, there will be no real operating civilian public infrastructure in West Africa by the time the US Military arrives in force in late October.
New numbers out yesterday by WHO/CDC.
On the 20th of Sep, we hit 6000 official open cases. We hit 3000 cases on 25AUG14. It took 26 days to double up this time, officially.
Unofficially, the numbers are worse. The problem with those projections is they are assailable.
The doubling rate isn’t. Frankly, there hasn’t been a global acceleration in growth above the rates in June, July, and Aug, except perhaps maybe by a day or two.
If we see an acceleration, I think it will be due to the possibility that since Ebola can infect a person with so few viruses (10 or less will do the trick), and the virus may be viable inside a mosquito, bed bug, lice, biting fly, etc.
We don’t know if it can at this point.
It can explain how health care workers in full battle headfeathers can come down with the disease if they stay around it long enough. You get bit by a mosquito or a fly, maybe you come down with it. It might explain how Writebol came down with it.
Still so much we don’t know about the transmissibility that we ought to at this point.