I thought you’d like that paper.
“Ebola case count could rise to between 77,000 and 277,000 by years end”
Worse case scenario...
“Ebola: Fashola says schools in Lagos may not resume September 22, gets WHO commendation”
I did. Huge.
FR is an amazing place. Think of the cash spent on the combined government resources arrayed against something like this, and between a few of us, we zeroed an R0 before they did. Perhaps we sussed it before they were ready to announce it.
Even the release ASU put out buried the lead. They never once referred to the reproductive rate as R0.