http://news.sciencemag.org/health/2014/08/disease-modelers-project-rapidly-rising-toll-ebola
“Extrapolating existing trends, the number of the sick and dying mounts rapidly from the current toll—more than 3000 cases and 1500 deaths—to around 10,000 cases by September 24,”
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And this is using the WHO numbers, which are only the numbers they have recorded from the various hospitals, clinics, and specialized Ebola Centers. There are likely thousands of ebola cases and deaths that are not on paper.
Posted by Dr. Niman of FluTrackers—
“How I survived Ebola – Late Nurse fiance, Dennis Akagha speaks”
Dennis Akagha, the fiance of Justina Ejelonu, the First Consultant Hospital nurse who died after being infected with the deadly Ebola virus by Liberian Patrick Sawyer, in this exclusive interview with Vanguard spoke about how his late fiancee contracted the deadly disease, how she lost their unborn child while battling with Ebola, and also revealed that Justina had just landed the job at the hospital and met Sawyer on her first day there. He also spoke on how he got infected with the virus and how he finally got discharged. Find the in-depth interview below...
http://yabaleftonline.com/2014/08/survived-ebola-late-nurse-fiance-dennis-akagha-speaks/
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I encourage you to read this in full, when you have time. I don’t blame runners at all, being that these are the conditions in some of these centers. Heartbreaking account from Justina’s fiance.
Vespignani has analyzed the likelihood that Ebola will spread to other countries. Using data on millions of air travelers and commuters, as well as mobility patterns based on data from censuses and mobile devices, he has built a model of the world, into which he can introduce Ebola and then run hundreds of thousands of simulations.
In general, the chance of further spread beyond West Africa is small, Vespignani says, but the risk grows with the scale of the epidemic. Ghana, the United Kingdom, and the United States are among the countries most likely to have an introduced case, according to the model. (Senegal, which reported its first Ebola case last week, was in his top ten countries, too.)