Posted on 03/14/2014 11:14:45 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Whenever a plane goes down, experienced air craft investigators look at the general circumstances and mentally draw up a list of the most likely causes not to leap to conclusions, but to prioritize lines of enquiry and organize competing hypotheses.
As information comes in, it should be possible to eliminate those hypotheses one by one until at last a full understanding of the circumstances remains. The goal is to make sure that the problem will never again bring down an airliner.
This philosophy works: Year by year, fewer commercial airliners are lost to accidents.
The downside is that, as likely sources of aircraft accidents are eliminated, whats left behind are increasingly arcane and bizarre, once-in-a-million combinations of bad luck, incompetence, and malice. And the longer we go without any significant clues regarding Malaysia Airlines Flight 370, the more likely that its true cause will fall into that category.
For instance? Some airline pilots have begun to speculate that one of the flight crew might have intentionally caused the plane to disappear and flown off with it to an undisclosed location. This line of speculation, outlandish as it may sound, was only bolstered when it was reported Wednesday that investigators were actively pursuing the possibility that the plane had been diverted "with the intention of using it later for another purpose.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.