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"Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful."
-George Box

You're trying desperately to appeal to doom, but it's sad and shocking to me that you haven't learned from your previous failures with regard to ISON. Look at what that model shows with regards to particle size as you approach the upper limit. It drops off precipitously. Now maybe that's completely wrong and we're going to be hit with thousands or millions of rocks the size of a house, but if so said rocks should be detectable and we will know the model is wrong. Now if the model turns out to be right and there was nothing to worry about, will you admit you were wrong and learn from your errors in always assuming that a comet means doom? That is the pattern I see with you, and you're making this forum look ridiculous. Sadly, I expect you will not learn from this experience either, just as you did not learn from ISON.

"One of the saddest lessons of history is this: If we’ve been bamboozled long enough, we tend to reject any evidence of the bamboozle. We’re no longer interested in finding out the truth. The bamboozle has captured us. It’s simply too painful to acknowledge, even to ourselves, that we’ve been taken. Once you give a charlatan power over you, you almost never get it back."
- Carl Sagan

You're trying desperately to appeal to doom, but it's sad and shocking to me that you haven't learned from your previous failures with regard to ISON...

First, thanks for the link to the video. Looks like Jessie (BPEarthwatch) may gotten the wrong comet in his crosshairs alright. Hopefully someone will let him know and he will learn from it. He seems like an honest person just looking for the truth and doesn't trust the government, which is becoming more and more common. However, mistakes are hard for some to admit to even though we all make them.

As for your statement above: "You're trying desperately to appeal to doom"; this due mainly because bible believers see the "signs of the seasons" and remembering the prophecies of things falling from the heavens during these days, are on alert and watching for such (i.e., BPEarthWatch).

Since you're a "professional scientist", as you say, are you willing to assure us that if an imminent treat to earth from say a comet or asteroid (etc.) was spotted, it would be reported to earth's inhabitants?

"You're trying desperately to appeal to doom, ..."

NO, and you'll NEVER understand that ~ or even ADMIT that you don't understand that.

"Now maybe that's completely wrong
and we're going to be hit with thousands or millions of rocks the size of a house,
but if so
said rocks should be detectable"

Oh really?
And just HOW will you detect them?

I've a very close friend that spent years working out at at Kwajalein Space Communications And Control Facility, who maintained their radar and long distance communications equipment.
He left there in the mid to late 80s, and he told me that, of his day, the equipment could NOT get a return on an object 500 feet in diameter
(depending upon its makeup, whether metal, an asteroid, or comet debris) until it was within 50,000 miles of Earth.
Now I know that technology has only gotten better since the 80s,
but at any Comet's debris' speed, that's only about one hour or two hours at best, early notification that we're in danger of a "near miss" or "an impact".
That's not enough notification to really do anything about it
unless we have people standing and waiting at the ready to react to an immediate notification.

The problem with most so-called "professional scientist" is that ~ they just don't believe in God or His Bible.
Then when something that God said would happen, does happen, they stand there with there mouth wide open in astonishment saying nothing!
They're just idiots, full of worthless vanity, and refuse to serve the people.