http://files.nfl-forecast.com/
site with playoff chances for each team, based on Monte Carlo, etc. Takes into account ability of each team and strength of schedule for remaining 4 games.
Seem to consider PHILLY to be stronger team than DALLAS .... or perhaps remaining schedule favors PHILLY (if DAL @ WASH is tough game?). Results unexpected.
MIA has softer schedule than BALT (very tough) ... would get interesting for a bunch of teams if MIAMI stumbles.
ff