I’d be willing to give fair odds to one or more of the the following:
1. Camera or DVR was not working. It hasn’t worked in months and the owners probably didn’t even know or wouldn’t pay for repairs.
2. Cheap cameras just barely show you shapes and maybe skin color but no recognizable features.
3. Thief was smart enough to know where the uncovered entrance is.
Some combination of the above.
The real idiot is the one who left the bike in his truck.
He won’t be doing that again I’ll bet.
I am still biased to inside job though. I lived in an apartment building about 20 years ago that had every single apartment on my floor broken in. 20 apartments in all. Stole jewelry, electronics, cash stashes, everything. Right after the last of us had gone to work for the day. And nothing was really disturbed in the hunt for items. It was almost as though the perp knew where everything was without having to search.
A week later the super shows up in a ~$60K brand new car.
Shocking, I know.