Does not settle a thing ~ Ansel thinks you need 40% of the population to come up with 40% of the 'effective voting strength' ~ which would be bizarre. Think about how the 2.5% of the population who are Jewish have managed to constitute a far greater proportion of the vote in New York, Connecticut and Massachusetts ~ and an enormous percentage of the elected members of Congress. True, they never make it to President, but that's for a number of reasons even Barry Goldwater could have told you about ~ and he wasn't even a Jew ~
BTW, that Gallup thing you keep referring to is an almost unbelievably non-scientific and inaccurate EXIT POLL. Even if one of them seems to be correct, they are unusable for the sorts of differentiations you are proposing.
