Anybody got Punxsutawney Phil’s accuracy record over the years?
Oh dear! Not very I am afraid. I found this in an article.
According to Stormfax.com, Punxsutawney Phil has only been correct approximately 39% of the time. Of course, long range forecasts can be difficult to predict for the human forecaster. For example, the 2012-2013 winter outlook for the United States was supposed to have equal chances to see a wet/dry and cold/warm winter as the lack of an El Niño and La Niña made the forecast rather difficult to predict
article is here.
http://earthsky.org/earth/groundhog-day-2013-how-accurate-is-punxsutawney-phil