If Oregon and KSU win out, there is no chance Alabama gets to to #2.
If either Oregon or KSU lose, I could easily see a one-loss SEC team getting in ahead of an undefeated Notre Dame. Notre Dame is vulnerable to teams with great speed on offense, and USC has plenty of it at the skill positions.
The computer likes Notre Dame a lot. I wouldn’t mind seeing UO vs KSU. I do not like Nick Saban at all.
If Notre Dame goes undefeated, they will be in the championship game. I am not a Notre Dame fan, but the fact is that Notre Dame has a much broader and larger fan base than any other school. Why do you think NBC renewed their contract with Notre Dame during the bad years? Television will dictate that Notre Dame will be in the championship game and the SEC winner will play the team left out. This is all predicated on KSU and Oregon also going undefeated. Hopefully I am wrong.
NO chance? You obviously have never watched the BCS in action before, LOL. They will arrange it so that the top 2 in the BCS are the teams that will generate the most revenue and ratings, no matter what the polls show. Alabama will grab more viewers than K-State, even with an extra loss. Bama has trophies, traditions, and is a recent "dynasty". K-State is a fluke from flyover country. Watch for it.
Oregon is mildly interesting, because it's new, it has huge money making it into something, and has lots of scoring. They top Notre Dame only because Notre Dame does have much recent success. If the Irish were in the Top 5 for 3 of the last 5 years, Oregon would have "no chance".
(And I say this even though I want to see a lovable long-time loser like K-state to enjoy some time in the spotlight... and this is IF Bama wins out, and has at last one BIG win in that run.)