You know, this may seem weird, but I just got to thinking.
All of these polling outfits magically have it at the SAME numbers for both candidates in every poll.
48-48
49-49
50-50
Now, I’m no statistics major, but you cant flip a coin 10 times 4 times and get 5 heads and 5 tails over and over again, so how can you poll 1200 people 5 times in 5 different polls and get an even split over and over again? That is statistically impossible at this level.
So what it, just what if, these guys are all “standing down” as a bloc and putting out “dead even” polls as a group, not to try to keep the story “interesting”, although it does help them, but as a way to officially take “no position”, so to speak, on this so that if they are all totally wrong, they are totally wrong together or if they are right, they are all right together and thus will all have the same level of credibility for the next election. There are literally no other pollsters out there that people are going to turn to, so they all have a virtual monopoly on this and there is plenty of suckers... business to be had.
It had crossed my mind, no one wants to throw their reputation down the toilet so they all stick to the neutral tie position. Would not surprise.
Lets see what Gallup says tomorrow.
Your right .
These pollster have no incentive to stick there neck out .
Axelrod and Daily Kozer nutter Silver will attack .
Crummy push poll outfits like QU and Marist and PPP still get hired to
Cook up dem push polls by their Dem media pals .
If being accurate meant anything QU would have been shut down years ago !
Europe has it right .
Ban polling 2-3 months before an election .
It’s nothing but a psych ops and manipulation racket .