Posted on 11/02/2012 6:35:25 AM PDT by mrs9x
OK Ras said two nights ago his turnout model is d+2. This puts Romney up and he should win based on turnout. Turnout is what we have to do. So far the early voting shows we are getting the turnout and Obama is heading to Boulder because he is not
My suspicion when all is said and done is that Romney will get 6-8% of independents.
Also, remember that Rasmussen is using a Dem +3 or Dem +4 model here. If the electorate is more Republican than that, then Romney wins going away.
Not a good trend. Obviously a very good sample for Obama last night.
Not good. Bammy has closed the gap.
Well, so much for the theory the “undecideds break for the challenger.”
C’mon America... really??????
It’s close because he’s an incumbent and th media loves him.
Obama/Biden 46.84 percent
Romney/Ryan 51.55 percent
Other 1.05 percent
date 11/2
This morning news on radio (the station here that has Rush, Levin, and Hannity) announced a surprise rise of manufacturing jobs and then expanded on that as the news. At the end, an oh by the way statement about the unemployment rate came in at 7.9%.
Nothing about the rate being higher than when the community organizer took office. The media is covering the rise in unemployment like they are covering Benghazi.
Certainly these OPINION polls are too close for comfort right now, but as others have pointed out it’s R that flucuates, and not at Obama’s advantage. So I have to think that come Tues R voters will vote, and vacillators likely won’t vote at all.
Question is what is the truth about early voting. We’ve heard stories favoring R and ones favoring O. I don’t know what is truth and what is propaganda anymore.
No point in hand wringing. Explain to a vacillator this weekend that Obama is setting up an America that will be less free, less safe, and with a lower standard of living for their kids than they experience themselves.
Look it is not unexpected due to the fat bastard NJ governor and his traitorous behaviour.
But with the unemployment rate up,Romney should get the focus back on the economy and he will win.
Romney gained when he was able to present himself unfiltered. Sandy was a godsend for Obama (although a real disaster for everyone else). It made Romney invisible and gave Obama a chance to be “our leader” during crisis. It took every other story off the table the week leading to the election, most of which helped Mitt.
The shaky undecideds have tilted back some towards Obama as a result.
Obama is at 44% with independents.
Does anyone know what Rasmussen’s swing state poll is?
Yep. So much for the "undecideds break to the challenger" argument, if this poll is to be believed.
0bama will not get nearly as many votes from the NY, NJ, CT area as anticipated, people trying to recover from the storm don’t care about voting right now - they care about power, heat, getting gasoline, food & water.
“Well, so much for the theory the “undecideds break for the challenger.””
Good to see I’m not the only one that does not buy that crap. They are the people at the table who ask the waiter to come a couple times and then finally say, “I’ll have what he’s/she’s having”.
Other than Obama, the two most prominent politicians in the nation this week were Christie and Bloomberg.
They both basically endorsed Obama - one with actual words (Bloomberg), and the other with photo op after photo op and high praise.
Thanks fatty
I’m no math major but if Romney is up 48-47 in a dem +3 model, if the turnout is actually R+2 the the result is 50-45 (not accounting for undecided that will likely break for Romney).
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