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To: Paladin2
>>>We haven't seen a turn to the left yet.

Yes you have. Motion earlier today was to the NE. Now...it's a shade to the E of north. It's turning and WILL turn. Global models will not be THAT wrong.

Jet stream energy will fuel it. There is a negatively tilted diffluent trof to the west...and the normal tropical mechanism of deepening a system will be taken over by baroclinic forces as it transitions into an extra-tropical cyclone.

23 posted on 10/28/2012 10:25:54 PM PDT by NELSON111
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To: NELSON111
For your reference. Check out what is happening over in Alaska and BC by November 3rd. Strange weather we are having.

Weather Model ECMWF - North America - Surface pressure [base + 96] - Loop
39 posted on 10/28/2012 10:35:21 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media.)
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To: NELSON111

What about sea temperatures? Isn’t that what drives a hurricane, at least in cyclonic motion?

The current NOAA temp maps show warmer water much further out, particularly once past the Outer Banks/Hatteras. The waters for some 200 plus nautical miles off NJ/NY and further N show 60 deg. F So it shouldn’t keep up cylconic motion, right? Besides the cold temperature of it, is it the force of the arctic air coming down pushing the disturbance onshore— this seems to be what the projection is showing.
This being “extra-tropical” makes this nothing like the 35 plus years experience I’ve had (and many hurricanes/tropical storms been through) in Caribbean island and Gulf of Mexico fishing/sailing.


123 posted on 10/28/2012 11:23:56 PM PDT by John S Mosby (Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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