Using my trusty SLOSH model...and some historical surge values (Betsy, Andrew and '47)...my forecast was pretty close...but a little high. Think I had a max of 20' along the LA coast...15' at Lakefront...and 30' along MS.
Of course...by the time Katrina got to the coast...it was sort of like your argument: Weak! :-)
Night!
BTW, Don't forget to take your umbrella to work tomorrow...
Did you just say Katrina was weak when it hit the coast? Tell that to Missippians. Wow.