Big one indeed! Romney can win IA, NV and CO and not even need OH. CO is looking good.
We need to see better numbers out in IA & NV to feel safe. Screwy stuff can get us when a state is won at the margins.
I keep thinking that there’s just too many Mormons in NV for Mitt to lose it. Who knows about Iowa...that state has never exactly been in love with Romney.
I just find that amazing.
Romney now leads Independent Voters in swing states 50-37
Romney will win PA I think. I am in the suburbs around Philly and the Romney signs are dwarfing the Obama signs. I mean they are everywhere.
Thanks for the tip. My brother just sent me a link to a website that runs down these important swing states.
Pray for Nevada, it is going to be very tough. I have been spending every Saturday working down there from Utah. The Dems have a very large registration advantage in Clark. I was in an area where union workers were in number. I talked to one guy, who had just gotten back to work after being off of work for 2 years, tell me “I am going to support my union”. I told him “my husband belongs to the Teacher’s Union and he works every day for Romney. You already pay dues to your union, they don’t own your vote.” I always hit em with the secret ballot thing. Now, this guy lives on a street where 1/3 of the homes are obviously bank owned. It is astonishing that this election can be this close given the shape that Clark County is in. The “knuckleheads”, low IQ voters are going for Obama. The key is a 10 point lead or better, in turnout. Don’t get me wrong, there are pockets that are Romney 10 to 1. The other problem down here is that 25-30% of all of the people on my list were wrong addresses or empty homes. If you live in Southern Cal, we are running buses into Clark for the next 2 weeks. Call HQ in Summerlin. Turnout is EVERYTHING!
Or Wisconsin, Nevada, and Colorado. For some reason I think Obama’s going to win Ohio and Romney’s going to win Wisconsin, Nevada, and Colorado.
“Romney can win IA, NV and CO and not even need OH. CO is looking good.”
Nevada looks like it’s going to Obama. Rasmussen’s last poll shows him leading there, 50-47%.
Despite all kinds of optimism here on FR, Ohio still looks to be tough for Romney, and will likely be as close on election night as was Florida in 2000 (I would enjoy being proven wrong on this). So, as it stands today (hpefully things will change in the next two weeks), I believe Romney’s path to victory must exclude OH.
If Romney can hold Colorado (9 electoral votes), he could combine Iowa (6) and New Hampshire (4) to overcome the loss of Ohio (18 votes).
I’m not going to be lulled into notions that this election will be a runaway for Romney. It will be excruciatingly close in the places that count (states like Utah, Oklahoma, California, Illinois, Vermont or New York don’t “count” because we know they will vote “top heavy” for either Romney or Obama).
Most people have already made up their minds, and the struggle for the few “undecideds” (where on earth do these folks come from?) or “waving wheats” (folks who “change their support” for reasons only they know) is going to elevate to a crescendo in the next 14 days, with more and more riding on “less and less”, insofar as the issues are concerned.
One consolation is that something like 90% of people (at least in some instances) simply refuse to talk to pollsters at all. With only one in ten are willing to talk to them, it makes me wonder what “the 90%” are really thinking. Also makes me wonder what percentage of these “refuseniks” support Romney in their secrecy, and how many support Obama. A lot of reticence out there — and a lot of anger.