[Soul of the South]

“North Carolina. No contest”

Party registration (5/12/12) 43% Dem, 31% Rep, 25% Independent

Race of registered voters:
White 71.5%
Black 21.5%
Indian 0.8%
Hisp 1.4%
Other 4.8%

Sex of registered voters:
Male 45.5%
Fem 54.5%

Obama starts with 95% of the black vote or 20% of the total vote. Assuming he gets 25% of the white male vote or 13% of the total he needs at least 39% of the white female vote to win. In 2008 nationally Obama won 48% of the white female vote.

Romney will start with about 75% of the white male vote or 24.4% of total registered voters. He will need at least 62% of the white female vote to win.

The election in NC and nationally will come down to the white female vote plus ballot stuffing in urban areas.

[muawiyah]

The effective vote has some relationship to the basic proportions any particular group of potential voters has to the total population, but for political gamesmanship purposes you have to adjust everything by demonstrated prior voting patterns.

African American voters are a serious component of the Democrat party ~ not the majority, but at least 40% to 50% of the Democrat voters in districts or states where they are well organized.

They make a lot of noise in North Carolina but as Harvey Gant demonstrated, all the national Democrats can back you and you can still lose!