Once again this is projecting the beliefs of FR on to the electorate. There simply aren't millions of evangelicals that never vote until they get their perfect social conservative candidate, no matter what people would like to believe.
Any of the southern states you've listed that have gone Republican by large margins for the last zillion elections are going to go Republican; maybe by less of a margin, but it doesn't matter in terms of electoral votes, of course.
In states like AL and MS the decomposing corpse of Nelson Rockefeller would win if he was the candidate against Obama, much less Romney.
lol
no kidding
White southerners now cling to the GOP and loathe the Dems with a tenacity not seen since Reconstruction when they felt that way about the Radical Republicans
Non southerners always think it’s just about God in Dixie...it’s not...it’s culture...in their case a shared one....going back to the start
There are cursing, drinking, hard driving men and women in Dixie who don’t like Evangelicals telling them how to live too but they (90% at least) hate this view that America is a crime, Western Civilization is one big ripoff of better minorities and that their ancestry is not better than Nazis and worse than Commies...and that they owe them something for a long ago past when in the present it’s the group that claim’s it’s owed making the most trouble
Except for dumbassed arty old hippies, govt workers, northern transplants and stupid young bright eyed kids, whites in the Deep South are a lost cause to the Democrats
and have been gradually since Goldwater-Nixon-Reagan....I think Clinton snagged a couple when enough whites defected
other than that...only southern states to stray are the ones with enough folks from elsewhere moved in....VA, NC, and FL
White Southerners have lived this social experiment petrie dish for a long time and know really well how the safety and order has collapsed around them.
Few Northerners outside Detroit get it like that