She can win if the turnout of conservatives is >90%. At the rate things are deteriorating, it might happen. Any self-described conservative who doesn’t show up at the polls is just a defeatist who will allow the thugs to run wild. I’ll gladly support a candidate who can ignite voter turnout in a positive way. But time is running out.
Honestly, IMHO, she's probably a bit . . . libertarian AND populist for most "social conservatives" (but don't tell that to the "lamestream media" who wouldn't know a libertarian from an evangelical Christian from a neo-Conservative from a RINO if their lives depended on it.
We're ALL "right-wing wackos" to them.)
If she runs, she'll run against the whole Potomac River/Wall Street cesspool, and by doing that she'll get a whole lot of just-plain-folks people who wouldn't ordinarily give a Republican even a first glance.
To be honest, I think if she would go into some of the inner city, black-majority neighborhoods of some of the big cities and some of the Hispanic-majority neighborhoods in California and the rest of the south, engage in her usual face-to-face retail politics, speak "truth to power" the way she has always done, you would be ASTOUNDED at how positive a reaction she'd get--but that's just me and my opinion. I think Palin could target those key Democrat demographics with the message "they're taking you for granted. Aren't you tired of being taken for granted--I don't want to take you for granted. I want you to be FREE!" and make that message really connect.
(This may be why I'm not a professional political campaign consultant. Of course, I'm not sure Palin's in the market for professional political campaign consultants. Frankly, I'd offer the same advice to ANY Republican Presidential candidate who I thought could actually pull it off.)
If she doesn't get in, I'll likely vote Cain if I get a chance.
I’m voting for Cain in the primary, even if I have to write his name in.