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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

A synapse equals a switch and a human brain has 125 trillion of them. Using moore’s law we can calculate how long before a computer is built that exceeds the potential of the human mind. I’ll figure it out when i get home but right off hand I’d say under 50 years from now.


5 posted on 11/18/2010 2:37:04 PM PST by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
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To: mamelukesabre

“A synapse equals a switch and a human brain has 125 trillion of them. Using moore’s law we can calculate how long before a computer is built that exceeds the potential of the human mind. I’ll figure it out when i get home but right off hand I’d say under 50 years from now.”

From what I understand, a synapse is a lot more complex than just a switch.


14 posted on 11/18/2010 2:48:43 PM PST by rightwingcrazy
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To: mamelukesabre

Just based on quick bit of googling, you could estimate another 20 years or so, assuming that Moore’s Law holds beyond 2015 (not clear at this point whether it will).

And if it holds beyond that, it looks like we could see some truly massive change between 2030 and 2040.

And even more massive change between 2040 and 2050, with the possibility of entities a thousand times smarter than human beings around 40 years from now.


22 posted on 11/18/2010 3:04:06 PM PST by Jeff Winston
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To: mamelukesabre

A synapse is more akin to a microprocessor than a simple switch in that it can both store and process. God is a pretty good engineer.


37 posted on 11/18/2010 3:47:55 PM PST by jwalsh07
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