Obama is less mature, less experienced and more egotistical than Lincoln (if that's possible). Any state(s) that decide to secede will have to repel an invasion by the feds, aka yankees. (Ovomit and the yankee dems and even some so called repubs, such as non-sequitur, would have no qualms about suspending the Constitution in the name of 'preserving the union')
But this time the seceding states would be successful because they wouldn't have the albatross of slavery hanging around their necks. Also, most of the real producers will gladly join with the seceding states, leaving the 'union' populated with the entitlement class, or moochers, and cowards like non-sequitur, rockrr, mac-truck, et al.
I think that we would be the real "union", because we would be the only states forcing our federal government to honor the Constitution as it was written.
Better yet, maybe rather than secede, we could force out the states who want to use the federal government to illegally fund their social programs. ;)
... nah, we'd have to clean up their mess...
The powers delegated by the proposed Constitution to the federal government are few and defined. Those which are to remain in the State governments are numerous and indefinite. The former will be exercised principally on external objects, as war, peace, negotiation, and foreign commerce; with which last the power of taxation will, for the most part; be connected. The powers reserved to the several States will extend to all the objects which, in the ordinary course of affairs, concern the lives, liberties, and properties of the people; and the internal order, improvement, and prosperity of the State. -James Madison, father of the Constitution