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To: allmendream

Right.

It is undeniable that the South had legal options they chose to make no attempt to exercise. Instead they chose to “appeal to arms,” largely because they assumed the success of their revolt would be swift and relatively painless.

This turned out to be a mistaken assumption. But it was not unreasonable. Most informed foreign political and military observers thought the CSA would succeed.

The reason for this gap between perception and reality is probably that the world was changing rapidly, and political/military perception was lagging behind. Industry and the railroad made it possible for the Union to field, supply and move an army large enough to conquer the South.

In 1850 or earlier southern secession would have probably succeeded relatively quickly and bloodlessly. The difference between population and wealth was not nearly as great as in 1860, and in particular the railroad network would probably not have been able to support the Union war effort.

OTOH, in 1870 the Union would have probably won relatively quickly, since the population, wealth, industry and railroad disproportion would have been even greater than a decade before.

IOW, the South chose to secede at the only time in our history when a long bloody war was possible.

Thanks, guys.


236 posted on 08/05/2010 12:21:40 PM PDT by Sherman Logan
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To: Sherman Logan

Ahh, more modern Yankee fairy tales. So sweet.


237 posted on 08/05/2010 12:23:54 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed, and I do not give a damn.)
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