Replies

I don’t know if you’ve been pinged yet to this thread. Here’s a current list of the front page of contracts from Intrade, in case anyone wants to make money on their predictions.

US Congress - Who will fill Hillary Clintons Senate seat? (others on suggestion)
Caroline Kennedy to fill Hillary Clinton’s Senate seat

Last Price: 50.2 1.6

You can buy
this at 52.8

You can sell
this at 50.0

http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=660992
Caroline Kennedy to fill Hillary Clinton’s Senate seat
50.2

Guantanamo - Closure of Guantanamo Bay Detention Camp
Guantanamo Bay Detention Camp to be closed on/before 31 Dec 2009

Last Price: 84.8

You can buy
this at 82.8

You can sell
this at 81.5

http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=622302
Guantanamo Bay Detention Camp to be closed on/before 31 Dec 2009
84.8

2008 US Senate Races - Minnesota Senate Race
Republican Party Candidate to Win

Last Price: 9.7 0.1

You can buy
this at 9.9

You can sell
this at 8.0

http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=471533
Republican Party Candidate to Win
9.7

Economic Numbers - US Economy in Depression (see contract rules for definition)
The US Economy to go into a Depression in 2009

Last Price: 28.5 1.5

You can buy
this at 29.5

You can sell
this at 28.6

http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=647817
The US Economy to go into a Depression in 2009
28.5

Iran - US/Israeli Overt Air Strike against Iran (Rule 1.8 Applies)
USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 31 Mar 2009

Last Price: 8.5

You can buy
this at 9.9

You can sell
this at 8.5

http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=621340
USA and/or Israel to execute an overt Air Strike against Iran by 31 Mar 2009
8.5

Economic Numbers - UK Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
The UK Economy will go into Recession during 2008

Last Price: 98.0

You can buy
this at 98.1

You can sell
this at 95.0

http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=621328
The UK Economy will go into Recession during 2008
98.0

Osama Bin Laden - Osama Bin Laden Conclusion (Rule 1.8 Applies)
Osama Bin Laden to be captured/neutralised by 31 Mar 2009

Last Price: 6.1

You can buy
this at 6.1

You can sell
this at 5.0

http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=621339
Osama Bin Laden to be captured/neutralised by 31 Mar 2009
6.1

Economic Numbers - US Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)
The US Economy will go into Recession during 2009

Last Price: 87.0

You can buy
this at 87.0

You can sell
this at 80.3

http://data.intrade.com/graphing/jsp/closingPricesForm.jsp?tradeURL=https://www.intrade.com&contractId=619582
The US Economy will go into Recession during 2009
87.0