I’m betting that McCain carries NC by at least 5%. What do you think? I think Bush carried the state by 56-44 last time. Just can’t see him flipping this state so completely.
It’s hard to say.
I keep hearing about Wake County (where Raleigh is) demographics. The only flaw in this ointment is whether or not the transplants have been “Southernized” or if they have retained their Blue-State mentality.
Democrats outnumber Republicans in this State, however many of the Eastern NC natives are the Zell Miller type of democrat.
Blacks make up 21% of the population in NC, and if you assume that they all will vote for BO, then McCain is already starting at a disadvantage.
It will be very close regardless of direction, but I think McCain will ultimately carry NC.