“McCain will win Missouri. This election has some interesting features. A lot more states are shifting around. NC and Virginia both need more work in order to guarantee a win for McCain. The good news is that Florida and Ohio both seem to be moving towards McCain and the latest polls in Michigan show McCain is tied.”
Don’t leave out MN, Mac is statistically tied there with the messiah (47 - 45 as per Quinnipiac’s latest poll), and PA where Mac is down 1 or 2 depending on which poll you look at. Mac is also down only 5 points in ME. In addition here is a link to the latest Franklin and Marshall College/Hearst Newspapers National Poll out this morning, it shows Mac + 2:
http://www.scribd.com/doc/6217686/Fm-National-Poll-Sept-2008
Surprised about Quinnipiac... their polls are usually pretty left-leaning in my experience (which is funny since I go here and it is one of the most apathetic schools around)
The Franklin and Marshall/Hearst poll,fascinating... any idea of their accuracy? seems counter to a lot of the polls the media is throwing at us....
looks like McCain pulled in a lot more independents since june than Obama