Tropical Storm Dolly

NOAA/NHC ^ | 20 July 2008 | NOAA/NHC

[NautiNurse]

Newly formed Tropical Storm Dolly over the NW Caribbean Sea near 18.4N 84.2W. 1008 MB at 11AM this morning. Max sustained winds 40KT, gusts 50KT, moving NW at 15KT.

Caribbean Buoys

Wunderground Tropical Updates

Visible Satellite image

Infrared Sat Loop

[steveegg]

There’s a difference in how the latitude/longitude is reported in the advisories versus how it’s reported in the Vortex Data Messages. The advisories use tenths of a degree, while the VDMs use minutes.

[steveegg]

Besides laundry, I think spaghetti immunizes you against catastrophe. But that's like...not scientific.

And here I thought it was ice cream :-)

[Pebcak]

Your husband must be a saint.

[CindyDawg]

. We just went under a tornado warning....somewhere. TWC went to comerical.

[rdl6989]

You just reminded me why I am not a big fan of TWC.

[Pebcak]

Wallacy county needs to take cover, per TWC. LOL!
Willacy can just keep sleeping.

[Pebcak]

Here you go:

The National Weather Service in Brownsville has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
northwestern Cameron County in deep south Texas.
Southeastern Hidalgo County in deep south Texas.
Eastern Willacy County in deep south Texas.

* Until 715 am CDT

* at 645 am CDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
tornado 18 miles northeast of Harlingen Valley Airport... moving
southwest at 46 mph.

* The tornado will be near...
Porfirio by 650 am CDT.
Santa Monica by 655 am CDT.
Sebastian by 705 am CDT.
Primera by 710 am CDT.
Santa Rosa by 715 am CDT.

[rdl6989]

000
URNT12 KNHC 231159
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042008
A. 23/11:46:50Z
B. 25 deg 49 min N
096 deg 38 min W
C. 700 mb 2818 m
D. 59 kt
E. 132 deg 14 nm
F. 227 deg 074 kt
G. 131 deg 011 nm
H. 967 mb
I. 10 C/ 3045 m
J. 15 C/ 3041 m
K. 9 C/ NA
L. C20
M. CLOSED
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF302 1904A DOLLY OB 11
MAX FL WIND 86 KT NE QUAD 10:31:20 Z
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 78 KT NW QUAD 11:52:40 Z

[CindyDawg]

:’)

[NautiNurse]

How are you doing?

[CindyDawg]

I’m good. My son took over the tornado watch and I got a nap. My granddaughter and I are just watching it rain and the trees blow. So for it’s not bad.

[dirtboy]

Dolly is intensifying at landfall. Claudette in 2003 and Katrina (Florida version) both were doing the same, and both hit harder as Cat 1 storms than people expected from their stated intensity. I hope people don’t take Dolly for granted, thinking that it is just a Cat 1.

[Pebcak]

Thank you kindly, for the good info.

[steveegg]

Fresh Vortex Data Message:

375 
URNT12 KNHC 231159
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042008
A. 23/11:46:50Z
B. 25 deg 49 min N
  096 deg 38 min W
C. 700 mb 2818 m
D. 59 kt
E. 132 deg 14 nm
F. 227 deg 074 kt
G. 131 deg 011 nm
H. 967 mb
I. 10 C/ 3045 m
J. 15 C/ 3041 m
K. 9 C/ NA
L. C20
M. CLOSED
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF302 1904A DOLLY        OB 11
MAX FL WIND 86 KT NE QUAD 10:31:20 Z
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 78 KT NW QUAD 11:52:40 Z
;

Major changes in the last 1:10:

- Motion 318 degrees (northwest) at just under 3 mph (this is a bit questionable as the meteorological fix is not nearly as tight this time around).
- Pressure dropped 5 mb to 967 mb.

[steveegg]

Figures I’d be beaten; I’m out of practice :-)

[rdl6989]

967mb would be Cat 2
http://www.millenniumweather.com/tropical/hs.html

[Pebcak]

Ha! Fooled you. Spaghetti is good either cold or hot!
Fools hurricanes, too!

[NautiNurse]

She hasn't made much progress in the past 5 hours. Eeeesh.

[steveegg]

Morning, NN. Sorry I’m late.

[dirtboy]

Could be a significant flooding event. Plus, 95 mph winds over several hours can really do a number on roofs. She ain’t gonna blow through quickly.