Out of 16 teams still in, 10 are European and 3 South American. CONCACAF, Africa and Oceania have one team each. Asia missed out.
Mexico and Ghana will get crushed; Australia has a shot against Italy but will be underdogs.
First round went pretty much as expected except Switzerland and Ghana beat out South Korea and Czech Republic.
CONCACAF was a major embarrassment. 3 1/2 slots is obviously way too many for this region.
None of the teams would have made it through to the second round if Mexico had not been handed such a cupcake group.
Hopefully they'll get 2 1/2 or even just two slots for 2010.
And Poland was expected to reach the next round from group A instead of Ecuador.
My predictions in percent of chances to reach the quarter finals:
Germany 80 - Sweden 20
Argentina 85 - Mexico 15
Italy 65 - Australia 35
Switzerland 80 - Ukraine 20
England 60 - Ecuador 40
Portugal 50 - Netherlands 50
Brazil 90 - Ghana 10
Spain 75 - France 25