"In most states this case wouldnt make it to trial."
You'd be surprised. I've worked for a charging prosecutorial atty, I've seen lots of cases I thought shouldn't of been charged and they were.
So have I, but not under a spotlight like this, covered by media. Many,many a case has been dropped due to lack of evidence or credible witnesses.
Discovery is Thursday, and if he comes up empty, I be willing to put down a hefty wager this thing will end prematurely.