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I think it'll be Ace leaving tonight. I see Ace as the polar opposite of Chris. Chris is hard-driving and in your face; Ace is soft and mellow. Elliott has some of those soft and mellow qualities and although he doesn't have Ace's looks, Elliot is making improvements in his appearance from week to week. I think Elliot will be the biggest beneficary of Ace being voted off.

If Bucky gets voted off, I think his votes fall mainly to Taylor(southern boy, think he claims not to have much affinity with country but it's there whether he knows it or not) and Kellie(could be Bucky's little sister--I know families in the south that have both those "types" in one family).

I still think Chris is getting the votes he's going to get already. Mandisa leaving apparently didn't boost Chris if DialIdol is accurate. Her votes seem to have gone where I would have expected them to go(Paris and Elliott.)

I still think Chris is getting the votes he's going to get already.

I disagree. Do you think people are voting for Ace because of his singing? I don't. Those votes are sex appeal votes and teen age girls. Based on the teen girls I know, those votes will fall squarely in Chris' corner.

IMO, Taylor is the one getting the votes he's going to get. With a guy like Taylor, you love him (like me) or you hate him (like my wife). His style is what has him where he is now, and it's his style that make a person like him a lot, or dislike him a lot.

Same with Bucky. He's getting some teen girl vote and some country vote, and maybe a little rock vote. That vote will split 3 ways, IMO, Chris, Kellie, and Taylor.

Whoever loses last, Elliot or Katherine, will get most of the votes from the first to go.

Shaping into a 4 horse race, from my perception, Chris, Taylor, Kellie, and either Katherine or Paris. That appears to be the market divide. From there, it's a matter of who's got the biggest base and the biggest market remaining.

If Chris softens a little in coming weeks, then I think he's going to be tough to beat. If he stays "hard", then he'll finish 2nd or 3rd.

...if DialIdol is accurate...

Speaking of DialIdol, don't know if their stuff is accurate, but it's fun to monitor. Here's this week's rankings:

1	Taylor Hicks	31.38	1.634	-
2	Kellie Pickler	27.912	1.675	-
3	Paris Bennett	26.298	1.694	-
4	Elliott Yamin	24.404	1.715	-
5	Katharine McPhee	22.55	1.736	-
6	Chris Daughtry	22.404	1.738	-
7	Bucky Covington	16.585	1.802	-
8	Ace Young	16.31	1.805	-

If it's true that Chris is in the bottom three, he's fallen a long way. He once had been the favorite to win the competition.