[kevkrom]

Trusting DialIdol is lot like trusting exit polls. Most of the time, they're pretty close, but methodology and sampling errors make them useless for close races.

In this case, DialIdol (unavoidably) has a methodology error because they don't take text messaging into account. They also rely on their users being a representative sampling of the country, but it is a self-selecting group, and that laways introduces some form of bias.

[TonyWpi]

"Trusting DialIdol is lot like trusting exit polls."

That's a good point...although they're a bit better because with exit polls you have to take the liberal bias of the media into consideration.

[TonyWpi]

"Trusting DialIdol is lot like trusting exit polls."

That's a good point...although they're a bit better because with exit polls you have to take the liberal bias of the media into consideration.