I'm skeptical. Yeah, his playoff performance last year was nothing short of spectacular, but the guy's a .284 lifetime hittter who batted all of .267 last year (his supposed "breakout" year). He's a power guy people say? Sure, 27 dingers per year isn't too bad,but it doesn't put him up there with the league's power elite."
True on all counts. UNLESS this is Beltran's "breakout" year. According to those stats, he's about to be OVER-paid.
The Yanks did happen to strick lightning with Paul O'Neill and caught his breakout year of 1993(?). In 1960 the same with Roger Maris. And the Red Sox hit it just right with Ortiz.
Beltran is likely to break out; he's not so young as to be a *tremendous* risk, yet not so old as to be beyond the point where he might really explode. And The Boss, of all people, can risk a little on Beltran with the possible reward of having him go supernova.
Do you have any counterpoints with the Yanks not striking gold and overpaying prospects that never panned out? Just curious.