DISCUSSION
...JEANNE MOVING WEST AND ACCELERATING...
JEANNE continues west. A HP ridge over eastern CONUS is digging further south into NORLANT than models predicted this morning. JEANNE will likely move a bit south of track for a while, but should respond with a sharper turn to the NNW when it occurs.
From sundown tonight to sundown tomorrow is Yom Kipper. Jewish people may not be listening to radio and TV. Please try and keep them aware of the progress of JEANNE.
Note that the path of JEANNE is such that even though the landfall is in northern Florida, on the forecast track the effects of the storm's severity will be felt from Ft. Lauderdale, FL, to Kitty Hawk, NC.
JEANNE will likely be a category III at landfall.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS, INCLUDING THE ABACOS, ANDROS ISLAND, BERRY ISLANDS, BIMIMI, ELEUTHERA, GRAND BAHAMA, AND NEW PROVIDENCE.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO ST. AUGUSTINE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, INCLUDING CAT ISLAND, THE EXUMAS, LONG ISLAND, RUM CAY, AND SAN SALVADOR.
THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA MAY BE EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 2 PM ET/AT (1800Z)
Location: 26.3N by 72.9W, or 255 miles E of Great Abaco Island.
Vector: W at 12 MPH. Some acceleration is expected during the next 24 hours.
Winds: 100 MPH 1-minute sustained. Some slow strengthening is expected over the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 969 MB or 28.61"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 90 miles.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 300 miles.
Anticipated Landfall Time: 1 AM, Sunday, September 26, 2004.
Anticipated Landfall Location: On barrier island SSE of Vero Beach, FL.
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
NEXRAD IMAGERY
[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD location.]
SLOSH DATA
[SLOSH data have not yet been calculated for JEANNE.]
TOD DATA
[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests in the Bahamas, and along the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to Massachusetts should monitor the progress of JEANNE.
