Replies

TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN ADVISORY #69A

DISCUSSION

...IVAN STRENGTHENS A LITTLE AS IT MOVES TOWARD TEXAS...

IVAN remains on track.

IVAN has intensified a little, but the window for further strengthening is beginning to close as more of the circulation begins to interact with Louisiana and Texas.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches are possible along and to the right of the track of IVAN, which may result in life-threatening flash floods.

WATCHES/WARNINGS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI TO SARGENT, TX.

THE EASTERN PORTION OF THIS WARNING AREA MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

STORM DATA

Fix Time: 8 AM ET / 4 AM CT (0900Z)

Location: 28.9N by 92.1W, or 95 miles SE of Cameron, LA.

Vector: WNW at 15. This motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.

Winds: 45 MPH with some higher gusts.

Pressure: 1007 MB or 29.74"

Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: N/A.

Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 170 miles.

Anticipated landfall time: 3 AM, Friday, September 24, 2004.

Anticipated landfall location: High Island, TX (about 20 miles NE of Galveston)

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS

NEW ORLEANS LA

LAKE CHARLES LA

GALVESTON TX

NEXRAD IMAGERY

SLOSH DATA

Surge heights of 2 to 4 feet above normal are expected to the right of the center when IVAN makes landfall.

TOD DATA

Not applicable for a tropical storm.

STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION

[None at this time.]

INTEREST WATCH AREA

Interests along the Louisiana and Texas Gulf coasts should monitor the progress of IVAN.

CAT II HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY #39A

DISCUSSION

...JEANNE MEANDERING...EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST...

JEANNE remains meandering. It is expected to move west later today.

Track and intensity guidance are as issued in the 5 AM package.

Residents of central Florida should begin now to prepare for the arrival of a major hurricane this weekend.

WATCHES/WARNINGS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, INCLUDING CAT ISLAND, THE EXUMAS, LONG ISLAND, RUM CAY, AND SAN SALVADOR.

A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE NORTHWETER BAHAMAS LATER TODAY.

STORM DATA

Fix Time: 8 AM AT/ET (0900Z)

Location: 25.6N by 69.5W, or 475 miles E of Great Abaco Island.

Vector: Drifting erratically. A movement to the west at 6 MPH is expected later today.

Winds: 100 MPH 1-minute sustained. A slow increase in strength is likely today.

Pressure: 966 MB or 28.53"

Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: 90 miles.

Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 280 miles.

Anticipated Landfall Time: 2 PM, Sunday, September 26, 2004.

Anticipated Landfall Location: Cape Canaveral, FL.

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS

[None at this time.]

NEXRAD IMAGERY

[No part of JEANNE is within 124 nautical miles of any CONUS or Puerto Rico NEXRAD site.]

SLOSH DATA

[None at this time.]

TOD DATA

[None at this time. TOD data will be calculated if and when hurricane warnings are posted for CONUS and apply only to CONUS territories.]

STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION

[There are no such documents for this system at this time.]

INTEREST WATCH AREA

Interests in the Bahamas, along with the United States Atlantic littoral from Florida to North Carolina should monitor the progress of JEANNE.

I am about 50 miles from New Orleans (as the crow flies) and often time what you see for them weather wise it is us also.

I don't go to that city except when I have too. When I was a young poliseman in the Mississippi Delta my Chief sent me to NO to learn drug enforcement, suppose to be for a few days only but stayed 2 months, working undercover, in the French Quarters, looking for drugs and dealers. Tell you what, didn't have to look that far at all, it was everywhere as were the hippies. I saw girls 12, 13, 14, who had run away from home doing the dope scene, children, only children and grown men taking advantage of those kids. From then on I dedicated my entire career to drug enforcement and education. Ain't changed much, just not as visable.