DISCUSSION
...IVAN ABOUT TO CROSS COASTLINE...
IVAN is reaching the Gulf coast, but there's a possibility it may track SW and then SE back into the Gulf after the weekend.
Lake Charles NEXRAD indicates some rainbands contain strong gusts.
Rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches may be expected in association with IVAN which can cause life-threatening flash floods.
Isolated tornados are possible over southern LA today.
WATCHES/WARNINGS
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE UNITED STATES GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY, LA, TO SAN LUIS PASS, TX.
STORM DATA
Fix Time: 8 PM ET (0000Z)
Location: 29.7N by 93.3W, or just S of Cameron, LA.
Vector: NW at 8 MPH. This motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.
Winds: 45 MPH. Some fluctuation is likley during the next 24 hours.
Pressure: 1003 MB or 29.62"
Diameter of Hurricane Force Winds: N/A.
Diameter of Tropical Storm Force Winds: 120 miles. Mainly to the north and east of center.
Anticipated landfall time: 9 PM ET / 8 PM CT, Thursday, September 24, 2004.
Anticipated landfall location: Johnson's Bayou, LA (about 10 miles E of the LA/TX border).
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS
NEXRAD IMAGERY
SLOSH DATA
IVAN will generate surge heights of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels near and to the right of where the center makes landfall.
TOD DATA
[Not applicable as IVAN is not a hurricane.]
STATE-ISSUED OFFICIAL EVACUATION INSTRUCTIONS AND OTHER INFORMATION
[None at this time.]
INTEREST WATCH AREA
Interests along the United States Gulf Coast in Louisiana and Texas should monitor the progress of IVAN.