If Kerry thought his head hurt yesterday, wait until he sees this!
Tracking polls released today, 9/3/04, the day after the Republican National Convention ended, show sizeable swings in the public consciousness.
Examples:
-- In New York City, the number of adults who say Bush will win jumped from 39% on 7/22 (the week before the DNC) to 58% today: 19 points up for Bush, 17 points down for Kerry.
-- In Los Angeles, the number who say Bush will win jumped from 38% on 7/22 to 59% today: 21 points up for Bush, 18 points down for Kerry.
-- In Pittsburgh, Bush went from 44% to 64%: 20 points up for Bush, 19 points down for Kerry.
Each poll was conducted of an entire metropolitan area, known as a TV market, and defined by Nielsen Media Research as the "Designated Market Area" (DMA). In no metropolitan area, in any part of the country, did Kerry's numbers go up. Four separate polls of 500 adults each were conducted in 30 TV markets and in 2 states. (128 discrete pieces of opinion research; 64,000 separate telephone interviews.) Each survey has a sampling error of plus or minus 4.5%. (more at link)
DEMOCRAT SAYS HE HELPED BUSH INTO GUARD TO SCORE POINTS
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A60319-2004Sep3.html
Democratic presidential nominee, Sen. John Kerry (news - web sites), D-Mass., arrives at a rally in Newark, Ohio on Friday, Sept. 3, 2004. (AP Photo/Laura Rauch)
Certainly the modest people of Newark, Ohio were impressed with Kerry in his blue blazer with the gold buttons.
Median resident age: 35.9 years
Median household income: $34,791 (year 2000)
Median house value: $85,200 (year 2000)
Newsweek poll now confirms the findings of the Time and Survey USA polls:
Bush/Cheney 52%
Kedwards 41%
And it gets better. This poll was averaged over Thurs and Fri, so half was done before Bush spoke. Here's how it breaks down:
Thursday interviews Bush 49 / Kerry 43
FRIDAY interviews Bush 54 / Kerry 38
And Bush is pulling 50% of WOMEN!!!!!
Whoopeeeeee!
Raw poll data here
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/040904/nysa058_1.html