To: Frank_Discussion
When constructing a hypothesis for experimental verification or disconfirmation, one needs to design and consider statistically the hazards on both sides if one wishes to really have a good chance at arriving at some 'objective' 'truth' . . . whatever that is.
One cliff hazard is a TYPE I error
wherein you conclude that
SOMETHING IS THERE when ACTUALLY, NOTHING IS THERE. It's an artifact of statistical manipulation or measurement or a design flaw etc.
The other cliff hazard is a TYPE II error
wherein you conclude that
NOTHING IS THERE when ACTUALLY, SOMETHING *IS* THERE.
Safe travels or doings or whatever. Blessings to you and yours.
44 posted on
02/08/2004 11:37:54 AM PST by
Quix
(Choose this day whom U will serve: Shrillery & demonic goons or The King of Kings and Lord of Lords)
To: Quix
So... did it occur to you at any time that you are committing one of those Type I errors in this instance? Or are errors something that only people who don't agree with you commit?
47 posted on
02/08/2004 11:42:46 AM PST by
thoughtomator
("What do I know? I'm just the President." - George W. Bush, Superbowl XXXVIII halftime statement)
To: Quix
The UFO I saw as a kid, (multiple witnesses BTW), in the early 60's looked similar to this photo, round with a tower on the top of it. A photo appeared in J.Allen Hynek's book some 8 or 9 years after I saw this thing. The photo confirmed my sighting. (FYI-UFO buffs: was nearly identical to the McMinnvile photos.)
I have never had another sighting of this magnitude in the last 40 years! Amazing stuff out there!
It will be interesting to see what the experts say.
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