Eh, Virginia as a bellweather is skewed because of the very high number of federal employees. Their interests are simply different from most of the rest of the country.
“Virginia emerges as key bellwether ahead of midterms”
Actually, not. Crappy candidate, but the media will CLAIM that the election is a referendum on Trump.
‘“The Democrats want to look at this as a bellwether largely because they think they have an advantage here,” longtime Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth said.’
You don’t say. Fancy that.
later
Winsome Earle-Sears has an uphill battle.
Virginia is not and will never be a bellwether. It is dominated by government employees and consultants and lobbyists. No other state besides Maryland is so affected by the swamp. Virginia locals would vote overwhelmingly republicans. Then the swamp votes come in.
They are trotting this out as a bellwether because Sears is such a terrible candidate and sure to lose.
People really are stupid.
Tough state, they couldn’t win their state legislature in the last elections if I recall correctly. Youngkin was a special case and he aligned with a massive school reform movement.
If VA is a bellweather, the Dems are in a BAD BAD way....
Youngkin broke the mold with his win, as did Sears...
If Sears pulls off this victory, that means the NOVA wall, has broken, and if that’s true, dems are going to get swamped all over the place.
Personally I don’t know if I’d call VA a bellweather.
I would say if Sears pulls off a solid win here, the rest of the night is likely going to be very very good for Republicans. However, if Sears were to lose, I could not say that would mean the night overall will be kind to Democrats.
Spanberger worries me, because she isn’t going to stop at just being a Governor.
A lot can happen in 16 months. (((YAWN))). President Trump could shut off the DemocRATS’ drug supply. Hakeem, Booker and Pressley of the Black Egghead Cockeye could show up wearing toupees and demanding their “reparations” checks.
It’s a lib state, so it can’t be used as a bellwether vote.
Tennessee, where a congress critter has decided to leave his post, that will be the test vote. You can’t count on anything out of VA.
Northern Virginia always decides statewide results. Virginia needs the electoral college... as do many states with high density metropolitan areas.
Say democrat media who’s candidate is up by 15 points and 3x the cash.
"Virginia’s off-year elections are being viewed by both parties as a key bellwether heading into next year’s midterms, as well as a potential indicator for how voters view President Trump."
As a side note to this thread, please consider the following.
While the Trump-inspired Big Beautiful Law is a step in putting the country back on its constitutionally limited power federal government foundations, the ultimate tax reform is to repeal the 16th Amendment (16A; direct taxes). That amendment is the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow for organized crime front-ended by deep state Congress imo.
"Congress is not empowered to tax for those purposes which are within the exclusive province of the States." —Justice John Marshall, Gibbons v. Ogden, 1824.
"16th Amendment: The Congress shall have power to lay and collect taxes on incomes, from whatever source derived [emphasis added], without apportionment among the several States, and without regard to any census or enumeration."
But only the states can amend the Constitution.
Note that House "Republicans" had introduced a referendum to propose an amendment to the Constitution to the states to repeal 16A while Pelosi was speaker. So did they really expect to get support for it?
In other words, it's entirely up to us patriots to wake up and support only those state and federal 2026 primary candidates who publicly promise to support PDJT47 in putting the icing on the cake of his Big, Beautiful Law by next leading the states to repeal 16A.
The 17th Amendment, popular voting for federal senators, needs to disappear too.
We'll call the repeal amendment Trump's Boston Tea Party II Amendment.
New Jersey is the ACTUAL bellweather. If it is close, or if we pull off a win there, it will prove that NJ is turing into a swing system. VA is Blue.
VA is NOT a bellweather. It is skewed by government employees and Karens in NOVA and suspect ballot counting in 3 regions. Any media person telling you otherwise is lying to try and create false momentum.