Posted on 07/07/2025 7:31:29 AM PDT by Red Badger
You aren’t the first to remark that Winsome Sears is not doing very well in her campaign. I haven’t followed it very closely.
Last time I noticed Winsome, she came across as a capable, plain spoken, articulate woman.
However, even a very qualified candidate might not connect with her future voters, someone like Kari Lake who ran for governor in Arizona. Sometimes the majority either already have a favorite candidate, or they simply ‘don’t like’ the opposing candidate, for their own personal reasons. Colonel Allen West, same story; a very able person who just cannot seem to win elections. Not every conservative loss is due to voter fraud.
Of course they are ‘undecided’!
They can’t even decide if they are male or female!...............
As soon as l saw this was from the hill l knew what the slant was going to be, l was not wrong. Trash.
Tough state, they couldn’t win their state legislature in the last elections if I recall correctly. Youngkin was a special case and he aligned with a massive school reform movement.
If VA is a bellweather, the Dems are in a BAD BAD way....
Youngkin broke the mold with his win, as did Sears...
If Sears pulls off this victory, that means the NOVA wall, has broken, and if that’s true, dems are going to get swamped all over the place.
Personally I don’t know if I’d call VA a bellweather.
I would say if Sears pulls off a solid win here, the rest of the night is likely going to be very very good for Republicans. However, if Sears were to lose, I could not say that would mean the night overall will be kind to Democrats.
These same federal workers voted four years ago. And a republican Won!!! No excuses! Trumps economy is on fire, illegals are getting out. The big beautiful bill was signed by Trump. There is no excuse for Virginia not to have another red governor. None at all!
Depends on the northern suburbs of DC.
TDS is strong there, I’d bet.
Even if the elections is a big win for the DEMS, it doesn’t mean a damn thing.........................
Yep. Younkin was an aberration in this otherwise reliably blue state, and he wasn't able to capitalize on his victory.
Virginia is a Great White Whale for the Republicans, much like Texas is for the Democrats. It's a state they always have hopes of winning and never do.
I don't expect Earle-Sears will prevail, which is a shame.
Exactly.
Sears and Younkin winning didn’t shift overall trends.
I would say if Sears wins VA, then that would be considered a huge upset, last polling I saw out of VA Sears was running behind by a good margin... of course I didn’t dig into the polls and think the margins are a bit stupidly lopsided to be believed, honestly... Sears down nearly 20? Not buying that, betting huge sampling bias either geographically, party, or socioeconomically.. if not all 3.
I would say, that one could safely argue if Sears wins, that’s almost certainly a very very bad sign for Democrats nationally.. because that would mean NOVA support had to collapse completely for dems, and/or the rural counties and suburbs were HIGHLY motivated to support the Republican or Reject the democrat, which certainly could indicate a very bad night for democrats across the country.
However, if the Democrat were to win, I don’t think you can extrapolate that that win would equate to the same conclusions nationally.
The Democrat SHOULD win VA, NOVA if engaged, should handily win VA... so its hard to make the argument that the Democrat winning VA would mean any sort of national momentum for them.
Guess we shall see.
This. Plus, Winsome Sears is shaping up to be a bit of a disappointment. I'm afraid there are dark days ahead for we Virginians.
She doesn’t seem to have a machine behind her.
Spanberger worries me, because she isn’t going to stop at just being a Governor.
She has Hilary Clinton eyes..................
She’s not nearly as obnoxious as Hillary, that’s why she’s dangerous.
“Eh, Virginia as a bellweather is skewed because of the very high number of federal employees. Their interests are simply different from most of the rest of the country.”
That’s pretty much correct. It’s more of a bellweather for how effective any attempt at limiting the growth of the central government is.
That’s what I said.. a GOP win could be indicative of a bad night for Dems nationally, a Dem win cannot be indicative of anything meaningful.
A lot can happen in 16 months. (((YAWN))). President Trump could shut off the DemocRATS’ drug supply. Hakeem, Booker and Pressley of the Black Egghead Cockeye could show up wearing toupees and demanding their “reparations” checks.
It’s a lib state, so it can’t be used as a bellwether vote.
Tennessee, where a congress critter has decided to leave his post, that will be the test vote. You can’t count on anything out of VA.
Maryland just raised taxes on almost everything. Even vending machines...
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