Virginia emerges as key bellwether ahead of midterms

The Hill ^ | July 07, 2025 | Julia Manchester

[Red Badger]

Rich men north of Richmond........................

[Bruce Campbells Chin]

Eh, Virginia as a bellweather is skewed because of the very high number of federal employees. Their interests are simply different from most of the rest of the country.

[Bulwinkle]

Yep…. It’ll be a referendum of disgruntled federal employees.

[BobL]

“Virginia emerges as key bellwether ahead of midterms”

Actually, not. Crappy candidate, but the media will CLAIM that the election is a referendum on Trump.

[cdcdawg]

‘“The Democrats want to look at this as a bellwether largely because they think they have an advantage here,” longtime Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth said.’

You don’t say. Fancy that.

[cnsmom]

I’m amazed how many people from MD have moved to VA recently.

[DIRTYSECRET]

Bellwether-what, 3 races?

[princess leah]

Would that Musk would bring his money to help in VA instead of starting up another party. He’s not a failure kind of guy, but the effort to start up a 3rd party will be.

[Gay State Conservative]

later

[Fido969]

Winsome Earle-Sears has an uphill battle.

[Red Badger]

She’s a former Marine. Uphill battles are in her makeup..............

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winsome_Earle-Sears

[DIRTYSECRET]

Spanberger was reelected twice in a swing district. The GOP and its voters never stepped up.

[poinq]

Virginia is not and will never be a bellwether. It is dominated by government employees and consultants and lobbyists. No other state besides Maryland is so affected by the swamp. Virginia locals would vote overwhelmingly republicans. Then the swamp votes come in.

[mewzilla]

That would make it a bellwether for Deep State.

And if Deep Staters are unhappy, I’m freaking delighted.

[albie]

You spelled it wrong. It’s Spermburger

[EliRoom8]

from The Center for Politics"\
— In the days leading up to the 2024 presidential election, the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll, spearheaded by pollster J. Ann Selzer, showed Kamala Harris leading by 3 points in Iowa.

— Besides receiving national news coverage, this poll had a significant impact on the expectations of Iowans themselves.

— Such dramatic public findings, which this Iowa Poll represents, can mislead voters and undermine trust in the polling enterprise itself.

[LS]

They are trotting this out as a bellwether because Sears is such a terrible candidate and sure to lose.

[Red Badger]

They do this every election cycle...................

[Disambiguator]

28 percent of voters saying they were undecided

People really are stupid.

[No name given]

Exactly.