HEADS UP - My posts for the next couple weeks will be a bit sporadic as August activities take over my time. Going to try to catch up today.
Currently, it is extremely unlikely that there will be posts next Saturday thru Monday (Aug 16-18)
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
UPCOMING - 5-day national economic and labor boycott for 16-20 September
***
Iman Abdul, a former youth organizer for Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, was arrested for urging her 25,000 followers to “attack” a NYC high school because Jewish students attend it. Abdul, 27, an organizer for AOC, has been arrested & charged with making a terroristic threat, acting in a manner injurious to a child, aggravated harassment, and making a threat of mass harm
She posted the school’s location and captioned it with “attack… all attend here.”
OBSERVATION - The hamas/jihadic front developing under CW2 conditions continues to grow. Remember AOC is not your ‘regular’ democrat, but a member of the Democratic Socialists of America.
Economy- Threat Level - WATCH - as of April 4, 2025
Considerable squealing in the MSM over the full on imposition of tariffs, everything from tomato shortages to coffee price increases. We’ll see, especially as countries rush to get trade agreements in place and have those tariffs removed.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics
Former vice president at Pfizer, Dr. Mike Yeadon:
“The design of these molecular structures in the vaccines... has no other purpose but to injure and kill.”
“The purpose of the pandemic... was to damage the economy, to get us used to doing what we’re told under a mock emergency, and to roll up our sleeves to receive these dangerous materials.”
“Some self-appointed group of very rich people have decided they don’t like 8 billion people being on the planet, and want it to be a much smaller number.”
https://x.com/wideawake_media/status/1954113873595834560?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
OBSERVATION - His last lines above match perfectly the over arching goals stated by the WEF and other globalist entities. Normalize unreasonable and nonsensical govt dictated responses.
Fauci and others were the field generals in this effort. Whether or not they are brought to justice this side of eternity is yet to be seen. Their overlords will likely continue unabated in their efforts to not only bring humanity under control, but down size it considerably.
POLITICAL FRONT –
“The Texas Supreme Court has now ordered the runaway ring leader of the derelict Democrats to respond to my lawsuit by Friday,” Republican Texas Governor Greg Abbott announced Tuesday, providing an update on his effort to remove a Texas House member who fled the state.
OBSERVATION - He was given until 5 PM on Friday to respond. Its now Sunday, so Monday could be full of fireworks.
Of further note, Beto and his PAC apparently have been funneling the money necessary to offset hotel costs and fines for failing to do their job. A judge in Texas cut that lifeline off, so now, theoretically, these democrats are being forced to pay for this out of their own pockets. However, it is most likely some other PAC is feeding them money instead.
TRUMP Watch –
How will Trump’s dance with putin this Friday play out. With or without Ukraine input or say.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Mostly fair with temps the 50-80 range
RUMINT –
Russia is reinforcing the front in preparation for large-scale assaults, Mariupol mayor’s adviser Andryushchenko reports. Ammunition, troops, armored vehicles, and tanks are being sent continuously, with the biggest build-up on the Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk fronts, where intense attacks are expected soon.
NOTE - Same warnings have been made for most of this year, with nothing happening. However, in view of peace talks, putin may be taking a tack from previous interactions. Most recently, intensifying Russia drone attacks after teasing about ‘peace’. Donetsk is a more likely target as it has been the primary goal of the Russia ‘offensive’. Warnings about Zaporizhzhia have been out there for nearly a year as well, with nothing.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russia launched 100 Shahed and other UAVs from multiple directions, including occupied Crimea. Ukrainian air defenses shot down or suppressed 70 drones over the north and east. Thirty UAV impacts were recorded in 12 locations.
Russian losses per 10/08/25 reported by the Ukrainian general staff.
+950 men
+1 tank
+4 AFVs
+70 artillery
+4 MLRS
Ukrainian drones struck the Saratov oil refinery. Big fires are visible after several explosions. Saratov Governor Roman Busargin confirmed damage to an “industrial site”.
Ukrainian forces have liberated the village of Bezsalivka in Sumy region and fully cleared it of Russians, the general staff confirms
Summary —
Drone activity has been down for the past few days, suggesting that in the next couple Russia will once again spike with a major attack. This could be tempered because of putin’s meeting with Trump and not wanting to have an incident inflame him.
On the ground, the typical grind continues with moderate intensities of fighting.
An item to note. The once overwhelming effect of Russian artillery that dominated early fighting apparently has seen its better days. Russia doesn’t seem to have the ability to make up for lost artillery. Probably high on the list is the attacks from drones, but also materially. These guns require special steel alloys to stand up to the high temperatures and pressures of firing. Sanctions have made it virtually impossible to get the metals necessary. Russia has increasingly being relying on N Korean artillery pieces. However, that creates a logistic scenario as the NK guns do not fire standard Russian rounds. MLRS trucks have cease firing in mass due to attrition, now roam in onesies and twosomes in an effort to avoid detection and destruction. Russia has attempted to make up for this with increased use of long range glide bombs and their own tactical drones.
Ukraine still has a slight advantage in that the NATO artillery pieces are able to shoot farther away - keeping them more out of range of Russian assets.
If anything, this war has shown huge adaptations and changes to warfare that will definitely project to the future.
Europe / NATO General –
Leaders of France, Italy, Germany, Poland, the UK, Finland, and the European Commission stated ahead of Trump-Putin talks that peace negotiations on Ukraine are impossible without Kyiv’s participation and a ceasefire, borders cannot be changed by force, and the current frontline should be the starting point.
OBSERVATION - Not certain how much Trump will listen. He seems to be OK with a treaty that at minimum allows Russia to keep the territory it has captured. Ceding any more - without direct Ukrainian approval - will doom any talks given beyond Friday.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Israel makes preparations for expanded Gaza operations.
——— GENERAL ——————————-
U.S. Sec. State Rubio:
“Britain and France caused the collapse of the Israel-Hamxs ceasefire talks.”
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
Israel estimates some 10,000 Hamxs fighters remain in Gaza City, entrenched over a tunnel network with command centers and weapons depots.
——— JUDEA AND SAMARIA——————————-
Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas is seriously considering unilaterally declaring the formation of a Palestinian State at the upcoming UN General Assembly in NY in September
***
Defense Minister Israel Katz says IDF forces will stay in the Jenin, Tulkarem, and Nur Shams refugee camps in northern Judea and Samaria until at least year’s end. He cites an eight-month offensive that drove out residents, killed gunmen, and destroyed Iran-backed terror infrastructure, cutting terror alerts by 80%.
———“ISLAMIC RESISTANCE” ———————————
Houthis have been quiet for a while, and like a little child that can be dangerous.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Germany has announced itself as the latest European nation to suspend its arms exports to Israel, noting that these could be used in human rights violations and potential war crimes in the Gaza Strip. Berlin backs the anti-Hamas fight, however.
Chancellor Friedrich Merz made clear as Israel’s military is poised to take over Gaza city his government will not approve or transfer any exports of military equipment to Israel that could be used in Gaza until further notice.
***
U.S. HITS UN OFFICIAL WITH SANCTIONS
Francesca Albanese cynically used her UN post to push ICC charges on Israelis & and Target U.S. companies.
White House calls her a national security threat and hit her with sanctions, including property blocks & visa bans.
State Dept spox: “We will protect Israel & all allies from illegitimate ICC attacks.”
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
Some analysts suggest that the final push in Gaza may take some time to formally kick off for as much as two months.
The reasons?
1. Reserves stretched thin — Chief of Staff Zamir warns they’re tired, and hostages could die in the chaos of urban combat.
2. Foreign pressure — U.S. & Gulf envoys leaning hard to pause the fight and push a deal.
3. Internal unrest — Protests grow as hostage families demand a ceasefire, not escalation.
In the coming days, the IDF will present its plan to the political leadership to expand operations in Gaza, including the call-up of roughly 250,000 reservists.
Gaza City is a major urban area. Fierce fighting will leave Gaza City in ruins. It will take considerable amounts of resources. Hence, part of the Israeli goal is to remove as many of the civilians as possible and then encircle the city and progressively squeeze Hamas out.
The other matter growing the growing push for a Palestinian “State” be recognized one way or another in September. Outside of the security council resolution, this acknowledgement of such a ‘state’ by the broader UN membership is non-binding, but sets precedence and allows countries to more aggressively pursue their anti-Israel policies with UN ‘support’.
The most extreme definition of this ‘state’ demand that Israel withdraw to it pre-1967 boundaries, giving up the Golan, Judea, Samaria and Gaza and plops the capitol of this so called ‘state’ in E Jerusalem. We can see just how wonderful this will be as muslims were not satisfied in pre-1967 times to peacefully coexist with Israel and have launched numerous wars. 67 saw the first inching forward to a regional peace, finalized after the 73 Yon Kippor war between Israel, Egypt and Jordan.
Fundamentally, the so called two state solution is just the nose of the camel under the tent flap towards a one state solution - elimination of the jews in total from the middle east.
The current situation, nothing will happen without elimination of Hamas, and Hezbollah. Syria will remain largely an antagonist given its hostile sunni ISIS related leadership. And Israel has spent too much capitol in its attempts to subdue Gaza.
This fall may be more turbulent as Hamas and Hezbollah will see European / UN designation of a Palestinian ‘state’ as a victory in its terror war against Israel and will further crank the PR up to leverage that ‘victory’ into an Israeli concession in the current fight.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Authorities in Iran are preparing to impose a lockdown due to water and electricity shortages
Iranian President Masoud Pezhkian said yesterday that there is a severe shortage of water and electricity and that the government aims to establish a large power plant to meet the needs, but there is currently no choice but to impose a lockdown due to the shortage of water and electricity.
The purpose of the lockdown is to reduce electricity and water consumption in public places (for example, government offices and various companies)
OBSERVATION -
A power with some of the largest energy resources in the world is going to impose a lockdown on its citizens due to electricity shortages. I think the rank and file Iranian realizes that the country has wasted hundreds of billions of dollars pursuing its military goal and leaving them on the sidelines to get the crumbs.
Syria -
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 25, 2025
Downgraded due to current ceasefire and disengagement of combatants.
Syrian govt and Druze are continuing another round of negotiations on how to work differences out.
Thanks Godzilla.
HEADS UP - My posts for the next couple weeks will be a bit sporadic as August activities take over my time. Going to try to catch up today.
Currently, it is extremely unlikely that there will be posts next Saturday thru Monday (Aug 16-18)
Globalism / Great Reset –
Worth repeating (h/t PGalt)
https://www.weforum.org/communities/strategic-partnership-b5337725-fac7-4f8a-9a4f-c89072b96a0d/
CW2 / Domestic violence - Threat Level - ADVISORY - up dated July 26, 2025
UPCOMING - 5-day national economic and labor boycott for 16-20 September
***
The Trump administration has begun deploying roughly 120 FBI agents in overnight shifts to help D.C. police combat carjackings and violent crime, The Washington Post reported Sunday.
U.S. military is preparing for the activation of hundreds of National Guard troops to Washington, D.C., two U.S. officials told Reuters on Sunday.
The officials, who were speaking on the condition of anonymity, said a final decision was still to be made by President Donald Trump but the troops were prepared to deploy.
https://www.newsmax.com/us/trump-administration-fbi-agents-washington-d-c/2025/08/10/id/1221962/
OBSERVATION - Why under CW2? Because previous uses of US forces have triggered responses by Antifa and related leftists - under the call against ‘martial law’. As the article notes, military may mostly fill in admin support, not actually on the streets. But that has never stopped the mind-hive of the leftists. Could see some increase in related violence.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Clock ticking down on Texas democrats
IN RELATED, Newscum is facing a barrier to his threatened counter redistricting effort -
“Newsom wants to call a special election to throw out the congressional maps drawn by the independent Citizens Redistricting Commission that voters established using the initiative power.
In 2008, a majority of California voters were disgusted with incumbent politicians in Sacramento drawing self-serving district maps to guarantee their own re-election. Using the initiative power, voters revoked the legislature’s map-drawing authority for state offices in 2008 and for congressional districts in 2010. The two ballot measures, Propositions 11 and 20, empowered a California Citizens Redistricting Commission to draw the district lines free from the control of politicians and lobbyists.”
Given the surge in Republican support, and cynicism from more mainline democrats and independents, it would appear that Newscum may not be able to legally set aside the CCRC and draw his own districts. Big time lawsuits if he does.
China -
A flotilla of three Chinese cutters was spotted near the waters of Manila’s northernmost island chain, prompting the Philippine Coast Guard to track their movements in the Luzon Strait.
Manila began monitoring the formation on Thursday as it approached Batanes, a remote island chain between the Philippines and Taiwan in the Luzon Strait.
The agency utilized its Canadian-provided dark vessel detection system to detect and observe cutters Hailing (3301), Dahao (3304) and Zhongjian (4304), Philippine Coast Guard spokesman Commodore Jay Tarriela said in a statement. Pennants listed in the release show that the flotilla exclusively consists of Zhaoyu-class large patrol vessels, 110-meter-long cutters in the China Coast Guard.
On Friday morning, the Philippine Coast Guard deployed an Islander aircraft from Manila for a maritime domain awareness mission to challenge the vessels off Batanes.
Tarriela described the flotilla’s movements as “irregular” and said China did not respond to the Philippine challenges. Only one of the Zhaoyu-class cutters was observed due to weather conditions in the strait. While the Philippine Navy has yet to release a statement on the Chinese cutters, local media outlet Radyo Pilipinas Batanes noted that patrol ship BRP Emilio Jacinto (PS 35) was conducting a maritime patrol in the area.
https://news.usni.org/2025/08/08/irregular-chinese-flotilla-spotted-in-luzon-strait
RELATED -
While attempting to chase and corner a patrol boat with the Philippine Coast Guard near Bajo de Masinloc in the West Philippine Sea on Monday, a ship with the China Coast Guard (CCG-3104) collided with a Type 052D Destroyer of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy (DDG-164). The incident reportedly caused “substantial damage” to the CCG vessel, rendering it unseaworthy, with offers of assistance by the Philippine Coast Guard being ignored by the Chinese.
OBSERVATION - Chinese activity has been on the increase lately. The incident with the Philippine patrol boat belays potential for even more violent encounters.
Russia -
Threat Level WATCH, Ongoing - into the fourth year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
*****
Ongoing soap opera and posturing for this Friday’s Trump / putin meeting. Not going to track too closely as full of PR and BS.
Muddled meanderings on Trump and the elusive peace in Ukraine. He has gained some remarkable points as a ‘peace maker’, but Ukraine seems to be the golden ring that is eluding his grasp. On a very basic level, putin should not be rewarded for his overt aggression against Ukraine - no matter who is running the country. putin is trying to reconstruct the Soviet Union through numerous territorial take overs - Moldova, Georgia and threats towards the Baltic states, just for starters. Any reward of territory to putin by Trump (without Ukrainian OK) will simply justify his behavior and encourage further aggression. Many former Soviet republics see this.
Not sure Friday will move the needle very much as far as fighting goes. But on a broader level may serve to produce a crack in putin’s designs for continued war. As I and many other observers have noted, Russia is running out of resources to maintain operations at the current level and can hit the wall next year. When it takes Russia 18 months to capture 30 sq km of territory for instance, this is not going to be a war won any time soon.
Russia lacks the “trained” heavy armored maneuver forces it started out the war with. Today, Russian attack positions on motorcycles and stolen trucks, rushing across a no man’s land of FPV drones to try to gain a toehold. The front is not much different than WW1 - only newer weapons.
Russian inflation already starting to skyrocket further, resources becoming scarce and with new and more aggressive sanctions and tariffs, things will only become worse.
Again, a lot can happen as a result of the Friday meeting, especially in light of recent successes of Trump to quell other global hot spots. But if progress, it will be at a glacial pace.
Ukraine –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing Apr 24, 2025
WEATHER FORECAST – Mostly fair with temps the 50-80 range
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Overnight, Russia launched 71 Shahed and other UAVs from multiple directions. Ukrainian air defenses shot down or suppressed 59 drones over the north, south, and east. Twelve UAV impacts were recorded in six locations, with debris falling in one more.
Russian losses per 11/08/25 reported by the Ukrainian general staff.
+1000 men
+4 tanks
+7 AFVs
+37 artillery
+2 MLRS
Summary —
Overarching wait for the Trump / putin summit this Friday.
Lowered drone strikes suggest either a new series of large ones coming, or very possibly that putin doesn’t want to poke the bear too hard prior to this Friday’s meeting. The last time putin miscalculated and launched massive drone/missile attacks against Ukraine - triggering significant response by Trump in support of Ukraine (materials and weapons) as well as escalation of the sanctions / tariff war.
ISRAEL –
Threat Level WATCH Ongoing - Apr 24, 2025
Key overnight developments -
- Australia and New Zealand to recognize a palistanian ‘state’ in September with UK and France.
- IAF increasing airstrikes in and around Gaza City
——— GENERAL ——————————-
The Israeli army has killed Al Jazeera journalist Anas al-Sharif. An army spokesman reported that shortly before midnight via X and Sharif’s broadcaster confirmed his death shortly thereafter, along with that of six others, including four other employees of the news channel. They were killed when a press tent for a hospital in Gaza was attacked.
Sharif (28) was one of the most important active journalists in the Gaza Strip. He regularly shared stories and images about the impact of the Israeli attacks there.
OBSERVATION - It has also been documented that he and his cohorts also participated in the Oct 7 massacres along with other actions ICW Hamas terrorists. A terrorist wearing a press vest is still a terrorist.
——— GAZA FRONT / HAMAS ———————————
IAF air strikes all around Gaza City.
———INTERNATIONAL ——————————-
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has announced that Australia will follow the lead of the United Kingdom, France, and Canada, in recognizing the State of Palestine during the U.N. General Assembly in September. “A two-state solution is humanity’s best hope to break the cycle of violence in the Middle East and to bring an end to the conflict, suffering and starvation in Gaza,” Albanese said in a statement, with him adding that Australia has received commitments from the Palestinian Authority (PA) including to hold general elections, continue to recognise Israel’s right to exist, and to demilitarize the Gaza Strip.
https://x.com/sentdefender/status/1954764123209695710?s=46&t=nfRT-Yioj0xALNzJelzFcA
New Zealand Foreign Minister Winston Peters: Considering recognizing a Palestinian state, a decision will be made in September at the Cabinet meeting
——— ASSESSMENT AND FUTURE OPERATIONS ————————-
How Hamas pulled off such a PR win in having its murder, rapes and kidnapping rewarded by western nations is in some ways remarkable. However, the move to recognize a Palestinian “state” is in many ways going to backfire (and already is). Hamas may gloat now, but it has redoubled the resolve of Israeli leaders to eliminate the terror organization and bring forth its worst case scenario - complete occupation of Gaza. Hamas and supporters saying such a move will draw Israel into a quagmire and defeat. I think that they speak too soon. Similar rhetoric has been spewed by Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran for months now - and we see how they ‘ve been dealt with. Hamas has effectively lost 60% of Gaza already. And as long as Trump stands firm behind Israel, all the bleats for a Palestinian ‘state’ will go no where.
Iran –
Threat Level - ADVISORY July 17, 2025
Armenia and Iran to hold consultations today and tomorrow - Iranian Foreign Ministry
OBSERVATION - With the US lead peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Iran’s influence in Armenia has been struck a blow.
***
Iranian President Pezeshkian:
“We are facing a severe, unimaginable water crisis. If anyone has a solution, they should come forward. Sadly, we have no option but to shut off the water.”
OBSERVATION - Rumblings from the affected noting that the mullahs and their friends seem to have no restrictions. Iran playing with matches in the gunpowder bin. . . .
Lebanon -
Hezbollah supporters are organizing marches for the fourth consecutive day in Beirut’s southern suburbs, protesting the government’s decision to restrict the possession of weapons to the state.
OBSERVATION - Most visibly are the motorcycle parades through mostly Hezbollah controlled sectors of Lebanon and in particular Beirut.
RUMINT from Israeli sources suggest Hezbollah is demoralized and struggling at this stage to put up a front against the renewed efforts of the Lebanese govt to disarm them and push them out of positions of power.
IMHO, the Lebanese govt, though vocal about Israeli targeting of Hezbollah ammo and weapons stashes as well as leadership, is quietly thankful for the help in putting Hezbollah down and keeping them from redirecting these weapons and resources against the govt.
Armenia/Azerbaijan –
See Armenian / Iranian consultations above under Iran