Posted on 11/12/2024 11:20:52 AM PST by Red Badger
Which states? To go from 312 to 400 he’d need something like CA, NY and or IL. Maybe some combination of OR and WA and ME and VA and NH etc. I mean 88 EVs is a lot.
Please fix source to “Daily Fetched’. Sorry..............
Yeah. Maybe 350 (+MN, NM, NH, NJ), but that’s about the limit.
And VA
They were afraid California would go RED, and that’s why they had to get BIDEN OUT............
But, when that bullet missed, godfather Joey had to go!
This story is likely bogus.
Internal polling would not vary all that much from public, because they turnout models can’t be all that different.
And there is the reality that Trump’s win aligned with most polls +/- MOE. The polls were pretty accurate.
WEIRD how Pedo Pete went from 81 million votes, 12 million more than even Obama in 2008, to losing 400 EVs a mere 3+ years later....
Don't forget VA.
Add to that, IL NY and CA were only about 3 to 5% behind that.
Those are the internal polls that nobody outside the campaign sees - it doesn’t mean they’re any more accurate but they are a lot more expensive. If true, they’d have to have shown New York and California in serious play. Accurate or not, that would explain the panic.
Also makes sense why Trump campaigned in NYC…..if his internals showed a close race and chance to help the down ballot.
Trump would done done equally as strongly against Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris in their debates if it had been one against one with fair questions like the CNN debate with Biden. That debate was designed to get rid of Biden, not to attack Trump like the other two.
This is why they did the “Trump is Hitler” plan.
It was the only thing that had a remote chance of working.
Probably saved them 3 Senate seats.
So they managed to keep their corrupt, no voter id required, blue states.
Odd, that.....................🙄
Remember right before Brandon withdrew from the race that there were a bunch of polls that seemed too good to be true but maybe they were true. I definitely remember seeing polls either showing Trump leading or very close in VA, NH, NJ, MN, NM, CO, and even OR. That would get Trump to around 380. Trump certainly had the momentum and Biden was apparently taking on water at a huge rate, so some other Democrat states could have become vulnerable. IIRC, there was a poll from Illinois around that time showing Trump only a few percentage points behind and that would get him to about 400 EVs.
Brandon's withdrawal and Harris' appointment reset the electoral map and erased most of Brandon's deficient. IMO Trump was starting to pull away at election time as the electorate was finding Harris unacceptable. A couple of more weeks and Trump is probably in the mid-300s.
Harris getting a poll boost when Biden was forced out was not a measurement of the electorate.
The pollsters changed their turnout models. “Hey, a woman is running so we will elevate the number of women we think will vote. And same with blacks!”
If you are leading in a group by 10% and you declare more of them are going to vote now than were going to before, then of course your overall poll number will increase. Especially with 78/22 blacks. In other words, the only minds that changed were the guys creating a turnout model.
The final results match what Biden was going to get vs Trump. No one’s mind was changed.
My first question would be: How could internal polling show a blowout (as in 10% margin in popular vote), but not public polling.
But perhaps they asked a different question, such as: “If President Biden was shown to be mentally unfit for office, who would vote for?”
...and keep in mind, to the rest of the country, Biden’s mental state was JUST FINE, thanks to our media.
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