[Owen]

Way too much celebration.

It would not take much to sample Latinos badly.

Florida sampling are Cuba descent. Very conservative.

NY sampling would be Puerto Rican descent. Pro dem.

Even worse, if you get that you think are 1000 representative samples of the whole electorate, and you restricted to 20% Hispanic, that’s a tiny sample size.

[af_vet_1981]

It was an Arizona state poll so referring to Florida or New York Hispanics is irrelevant.

A better argument is that Trump should always be able to win Arizona, even though he barely lost it in 2020. The Arizona poll indicates he will win it with improved support among Hispanics and I wonder is that is why he is closer in Virginia as well.

To generalize, Hispanics tend to work and care about how the economy affects their families.