RFK effect.
Remember, he was at 11% earlier. The conventional wisdom still divvies up the 5% the last poll gave him while he was still completely censored.
The idiots in Michigan won’t let him off of the ballot. They want to peel of a percent or two of what would go to Trump.
They are forcing the NON censored RFK, Jr. to go to Michigan and campaign. If the Trump Campaign is smart they will give him what cash (wait, he still has campaign funds too!) he needs to saturate the state.
By Election Fortnight he will be popular enough to win a three way race. Of course 98% of that constituency will follow him to the Unity Ticket.