“They have a turnout model based on 2020”
CNN released a survey earlier this week that showed 73% of Dem voters did not want Harris to be the nominee. I wonder how that is going to effect turnout for Dems? I wonder what the enthusiasm level for Dems is vs enthusiasm for Republicans?
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“They have a turnout model based on 2020”
CNN released a survey earlier this week that showed 73% of Dem voters did not want Harris to be the nominee. I wonder how that is going to effect turnout for Dems? I wonder what the enthusiasm level for Dems is vs enthusiasm for Republicans?
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Legit question.
I would guess the guys doing the polling, who spend rather a lot of hours trying to model the electorate based on region, age, party, education, race —are not going to make huge adjustments to their model based on their whimsical evaluation of attitudes about replacing Biden.
It could be a major thing, but personally I doubt it. They are voting anti Trump as a primary motivation about 15 MILLION times more powerful than any motivation associated with an individual Democrat.
There has now been time to see movement, if Harris was going to mean movement. It’s not happening.
Democrat options:
1) Close the border and begin very loud mass deportations, with their excuse being their surveys say it is what the people want and they will always support democracy blah blah.
2) Embrace Bitcoin. Trump just spoke to a Bitcoin convention and specified several programs in support of it. It’s a real delineator. Democrats are violently opposed since it camouflages movement of money. And, most important, surveys say over 20% of Independents own or have owned crypto. This would have been insignificant numbers in 2020, but Independents are so powerful this year, it’s a big deal and big numbers and the Dems are probably not so deeply committed that they can’t do a total 180.
3) The most likely option -— assassination.