[FtrPilot]

...Our Su-34 was shot down. The crew died. The plane was shot down during the Dumping of the FAB from the UMPC, about 50 km from the front line.

Here's my analysis:

Most likely an Aim-120 shoot down.

Aim-120 max range (R-Max 1) shot is about 120 km.

The F-16 could take the shot and never get in range of RU mobile SAMs.

This would indicate the ruzzians have no S-300s or S-400s in this area of the front.

There were no friendly aircraft in the area. The F-16 pilot probably had a free-fire clearance on any airborne target.

The Su-34 crew never knew they were under attack.

The Su-34 Radar Warning Receiver (RWR) did not detect the F-16s radar.

Possibly, the Su-34 has no ECM capability against the Ukrainian F-16s or the Aim-120.

Previously, RU over-the-horizon radars have been destroyed.

Also, recently, several RU long-range radars have been taken out, so the Su-34 never got any warning from their ground controllers of the F-16 attack.

Soon there will be more such losses.

Hopefully, many more.

[GBA]

I wonder if it was still carrying its bomb load when it was hit, because that would have been some spectacular fireworks!

All in all, a very satisfying first for the “old” F-16 and with a karmic nod to history, too, for when old MiG-17s and 19s shot down new American fighter bombers durning the Vietnam conflict.

[Magnum44]

Fox one. Sweet!

[SpeedyInTexas]

“Here’s my analysis”

Thanks!

[AdmSmith]

From

https://t.me/fighter_bomber/18409

Земля небом, братья... = Earth to heaven, brothers...

This is often written after a deadly crash such as after the Sukhoi Superjet 100 crash in JUL2024

note the comment “Ключевое « после планового ремонта « ИМХО .”
Земля небом …

https://www.forumavia.ru/m/t/203607/1/

It is at least an indication that a Su-34 is down.