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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 2, 2024

Iran is expected to “imminently” deliver ballistic missiles to Russia to support the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[1] NOTE: A version of this text appears in the September 2 ISW-CTP Iran Update. An unspecified European official told Bloomberg on September 2 that Iran could begin shipping ballistic missiles to Russia “within a matter of days.”[2] European intelligence sources previously told Reuters in August 2024 that Iran and Russia signed a contract in December 2023 for Iran to deliver Ababil close-range ballistic missiles and Fateh-360 short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) to Russia.[3] The intelligence sources added that dozens of Russian military personnel are currently in Iran training to operate Fateh-360 missiles. Russia's acquisition of Ababil or Fateh-360 ballistic missiles would likely allow Russian forces to strike Ukrainian near-rear targets while preserving Russia's stockpiles of domestically-produced missiles, such as Iskanders, for deep-rear Ukrainian targets, as CTP-ISW previously assessed.[4]

Russian authorities detained Leningrad Military District (LMD) Deputy Commander Major General Valery Mumindzhanov on corruption charges on September 2. Kremlin newswire TASS reported that the Russian Investigative Committee suspects that Mumindzhanov accepted bribes worth over 20 million rubles (about $222,000) while he was the Resource Provision Head within the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) and oversaw contracts for the supply of Russian military uniforms.[11] A Russian insider source, who has previously correctly predicted several command changes within the Russian MoD, claimed that Mumindzhanov was a direct subordinate of former Russian Deputy Defense Minister Army General Dmitry Bulgakov, whom Russian authorities arrested on corruption charges on July 26.[12] The insider source also claimed that Mumindzhanov had ties to current Russian Security Council Secretary and former Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu.[13] A prominent, Kremlin-affiliated Russian milblogger claimed that Mumindzhanov's arrest indicates that the Kremlin does not intend to curtail current Russian Defense Minister Andrei Belousov’s efforts to “cleanse” the Russian MoD and that arrests are not limited to several high-profile MoD officials but have been ongoing for five months.[14] The milblogger also claimed that continued investigations into high-ranking Russian MoD officials will satisfy the public's demand for justice and the fight against corruption.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-2-2024

5,954 posted on 09/02/2024 11:08:26 PM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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To: PIF
Russian blogger:

Iran is ready to transfer ballistic missiles to Russia, but there is a condition

The Western press has issued another sensation. Iran is allegedly preparing to transfer ballistic missiles to Russia. We are forced to comment.

Firstly, Iran has already transferred a lot of weapons to us, so expanding the range to ballistic missiles should not surprise anyone.

Secondly, the deal with Iran is indeed being prepared, but has not yet been completed. Iran is demanding that Russia supply it with even more air defense. And here is the catch, because the Ukrainian Armed Forces attack our oil refineries, oil depots, airfields and other military facilities almost on a daily basis. The recent attack seriously damaged the Moscow Oil Refinery. Against this background, the transfer of air defense to Iran does not inspire optimism among our military.

But Iran, as sources say, insists. It has a difficult situation with Israel, and Tehran wants to be as prepared as possible for the hour X.

And now about the most important thing. The Russian side insists on the transfer of Fateh-110 missiles (range up to 700 km), while Iran is inclined to transfer Fateh-360 (up to 120 km).

https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/4602

Russia really lacks everything.

According to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fateh-110 the range is 300 km not 700 km. The blogger has probably mixed up the missiles, it's probably Zolfaghar https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zolfaghar_(missile)

5,955 posted on 09/02/2024 11:37:11 PM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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To: AdmSmith

The corrupt investigating the “corrupt “. Sounds familiar

Show me the man and I will show you the crime


5,962 posted on 09/03/2024 4:14:23 AM PDT by blitz128
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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, September 3, 2024

Russian President Vladimir Putin concluded his trip to Mongolia by signing agreements that strengthen bilateral economic ties and trilateral energy relations between Russia, Mongolia and the People’s Republic of China (PRC).[27] Putin and Mongolian President Ukhnaagiin Khurelsukh emphasized increasing projects under the Mongolia-Russia-China Economic Corridor program, which supports the Russian “Greater Eurasian partnership” economic initiative, China’s “One Belt, One Road” initiative, and Mongolia’s “Steppe Road” development plan.[28] Putin emphasized that the Soyuz Vostok gas pipeline connecting Russia, Mongolia, and the PRC is fully constructed and awaits state examination.[29] Putin invited Kurelsukh to the BRICS forum in Fall 2024 and suggested that Mongolia join the BRICS Plus/Outreach format.[30] Mongolia is also reportedly close to completing a temporary trade agreement with the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU).[31] Russia and Mongolia also signed bilateral agreements to increase oil and petroleum product exports from Russia to Mongolia, and Putin announced that Russian energy company Inter RAO will assist in restoring Ulaanbaatar Thermal Power Plant No. 3 (TPP-3).[32]

more + maps https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-september-3-2024


5,989 posted on 09/03/2024 10:05:27 PM PDT by AdmSmith (GCTGATATGTCTATGATTACTCAT)
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