Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
https://x.com/front_ukrainian/status/1827367425894969753
https://x.com/ug_chelsea/status/1827303156922933326
Like they have a choice like “suspending” gasoline and diesel sales lol
Russians warning of Ukrainian jet drone attack shortly on Crimea.
With a shape charge warhead, they would be very effective against bridges.
The redeployment of Russian air assets from Russian air bases in range of ATACMS does not remove the utility of using ATACMS against other Russian military targets, however. ISW assesses that there are at least 250 military and paramilitary objects in Russia within range of ATACMS missiles that the United States has provided Ukraine. The United States currently prohibits Ukrainian forces from using ATACMS missiles to strike military targets in Russia, however, and only allows strikes using US-provided HIMARS equipped with GMLRS — at maximum permitting Ukraine to strike only 20 out of the 250 objects it could strike with ATACMS. Only 17 of these 250 objects are airfields, and it is unlikely that the Russian military has redeployed assets away from all the other 233 objects to the same degree as it has reportedly done with aviation assets.
US officials’ comments centered on Russia's redeployment of air assets have so far largely ignored the majority of targets in range of ATACMS that Ukrainian forces could strike if US prohibitions were lifted. Many of the 233 military and paramilitary objects in range of ATACMS are large military bases, communications stations, logistics centers, repair facilities, fuel depots, ammunition warehouses, and permanent headquarters that would be extremely difficult or impossible to quickly redeploy assets from or rapidly harden. ISW has not collected open-source evidence of redeployments of military assets from the majority of Russia's rear areas. The mass redeployment of assets away from such facilities would present significant challenges to Russian logistics throughout the theater, and open sources and US officials have not indicated that Russian forces have engaged in such logistical upheavals. Such disruptions to Russian logistics throughout the deep rear would have also constrained ongoing Russian offensive operations throughout the frontline, and ISW has not observed evidence of such widespread logistical constraints. The 233 Russian military and paramilitary objects within ranges of ATACMS missiles that are not airfields support Russian command and control (C2), intelligence, reconnaissance, logistical, and repair support for Russian forces fighting in Ukraine and in Kursk Oblast, and the assessment that there is no utility in granting Ukraine the ability to use ATACMS in Russia on the basis of limited redeployments of air assets from some airfields ignores these facilities. Any assessment that argues that there is no point in allowing Ukraine to strike targets in Russia on the exclusive basis of air asset redeployments is incomplete without also accounting for the hundreds of other facilities supporting Russia's war against Ukraine and would thus be incorrect.
ISW presents satellite imagery of some of these facilities below to illustrate the intrinsic difficulty in either adequately protecting or redeploying assets away from such facilities at scale.
pictures etc see https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-24-2024
Fuel Supplies To Russian Troops, Crimea Strangled By Destruction Of Ship
The Conro Trader was the last of three vessels that ferry large quantities of fuel across the Kerch Strait.
https://www.twz.com/news-features/fuel-supplies-to-russian-troops-crimea-strangled-by-destruction-of-ship
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Israel Launches Preemptive Strikes In Lebanon Just Before Hezbollah Carried Out Retribution Barrage (Updated)
Hezbollah says this was phase one of a multi-part retaliation campaign for an assassinated of one of its commanders.
https://www.twz.com/news-features/israel-launches-preemptive-strikes-in-lebanon-just-before-hezbollah-carried-out-retribution-barrage
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