Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
Reported artillery loses by Ukrainian MOD is one area I do question. None of the open source folks following visually confirmed loses come anywhere close to these figures.
SP artillery loses seem far more easier to ascertain. Even a Ukrainian artillery man stated that he had seen his system reported as destroyed by Russia multiple times.
I would think that towed artillery would be much harder to destroy, damage yes, but destroy no. Would think damage to sights, wheels… is likely with a drone strike, but being able to be repaired seems likely.
Even with huge stocks losing 50+ systems a day would deplete their numbers pretty quickly and yet rounds fired is still high, not as high as the beginning of the war, but still high
What I find more interesting is the concept of barrel wear. With the reported number of shells fired I would imagine the condition of even non destroyed or damaged guns should becoming critical. Add to that subpar shells and I would think tube availability must becoming an issue.
Yet the Russians keep firing
I agree with the exchange of terrorists part.
The Russian white hat mentality that comes with Russian mir never ceases to amaze me.
Launch ballistic missiles and drones at cities, perfectly fine. Invade a country, perfectly fine. Cluster munitions on civilians, perfectly fine. If Ukraine reacts in any way it is a terrorist act.
Reporting From Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU/videos
Reporting From Ukraine Uncensored Combat Footage (from this and past Reports) is found on Telegram:
https://t.me/RFUEnglish or @RFUEnglish
[ You need to have the Telegram app to view. ]
The complete transcript.
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[ Drunk Russian Helicopter Pilots Burn to Ashes Their Own Ground Forces ]
—
Today [ Aug 20 ], there are a lot of updates from the Kursk direction.
Here, as the Ukrainian offensive continued to penetrate deeper into Russian territory, the Russian high command scrambled to fill the gaps with a patchwork of disjointed units. The resulting chaos within the Russian ranks, compounded by a breakdown in communication between these fragmented forces, led to a series of disastrous incidents, allowing Ukrainian forces to capitalize on this disarray, further accelerating their advance.
The inception of the problem occurred when Russian officials reacted to the Ukrainian incursion, by declaring a counterterrorist operation in the region under the leadership of the Russian Federal Security Service. This decision directly conflicted with the fact that the Kursk region was already part of the responsibility area of the Northern Grouping of Forces, which is led by the Russian Ministry of Defense.
This disjointed command structure, involving several decision-making centers, has immediately led to friction and inefficiency. On top of that, the hastily assembled and under-strength units that Russians scrambled from various fronts and military groupings, had no communication with each other, and this lack of coordination caused operation breakdowns, chaos, and disorganization.
This problem has amplified the already weak Russian defense in the area, allowing the Ukrainian forces to take advantage of these problems and make significant gains. Even more, this complicated and bureaucratic command structure has reduced the overall combat effectiveness of the Russian armed forces and caused a serious record of deadly mistakes.
One of the earliest and most telling examples of the command-and-control failures within the Russian military is illustrated by a video published by Russian military bloggers. The footage was intended to showcase a Russian Ka-52M attack helicopter successfully engaging a column of armored and transport vehicles, which propagandists claimed to be Ukrainian.
However, the narrative quickly unraveled, revealing a major blunder and highlighting the severe communication issues plaguing the Russian army. Ukrainian drone operators soon released their own footage, proving that the targeted column was, in fact, Russian. The helicopter pilots had unknowingly destroyed their own troops and equipment.
Subsequent images of the aftermath emerged, showing the charred remains of Kamaz and Ural trucks, as well as an MSTA-S self-propelled howitzer. In a shocking twist, the Russian pilot responsible for the attack, was later punished by his commanders, who removed him from his position and transferred him to an infantry regiment to fight as a regular soldier.
This decision, as reported by Russian military bloggers, was met with outrage, as the punishment is similar to a death sentence and will further weaken Russian aviation forces in the region, which have already suffered significant losses due to Ukrainian anti-aircraft measures.
A similar incident unfolded just days later near Korenevo, where yet another Russian armored column was mistakenly struck by their forces. The attack was initially celebrated as a successful hit against Ukrainian troops, with Russian bloggers quickly boasting about it.
However, perhaps learning from previous mistakes, they were more cautious this time. Although they rushed to declare victory, they deliberately avoided releasing any video footage, recognizing that the event was another tragic and humiliating misfire for them.
The challenges facing Russian aviation soon escalated further, highlighted by the next geolocated video broadcast by a major Russian TV station. Correspondents had been sent to cover defense preparations in the town of Lgov, but while filming on one of the streets, a massive explosion suddenly rocked the area, forcing them to scramble for cover.
The reporters later returned to the scene of the blast, speculating that the city had come under attack from Ukrainian HIMARS-launched missiles. However, military analysts later debunked this claim, confirming that the explosion was yet another mistake by Russian air forces in the region. The blast was caused by an aviation bomb accidentally dropped by a Su-34 combat jet, further underscoring the ongoing issues within Russia’s air operations.
The disorganized nature of the Russian approach to prevent further Ukrainian advance in the region and the mixup of different units, didn’t limit itself only to blunders involving the Air Force. Prominent Russian sources stated that this massive lack of communication leads to soldiers often not knowing which units are operating on their flanks, or if they are even still there.
This can be perfectly seen in a bizarre video published by Ukrainian drone operators. It shows a Russian unit managing to capture several Ukrainian soldiers, thinking to be supported by other Russian forces around them, only to find out minutes later that the surrounding forces are also Ukrainian, which quickly led to the captors becoming captured themselves.
The next footage reveals an even grimmer fate for Russian soldiers who were not captured this time, but were instead recklessly ordered by their commanders to advance through a minefield without any warning or guidance.
The horrifying video recorded by a soldier, who tragically stepped on a mine, historically illustrates the self-destructive chaos tormenting Russian defense operations in the Kursk region. This disturbing incident underscores the profound disarray and disregard for soldier safety that has come to define the Russian military’s faltering efforts in the area.
Overall, due to the steady advance of the Ukrainians in the last few days, Russian high- ranking commanders have panicky attempted to hold the offensive without success.
Various reports and geolocated footage from the Kursk region, give a clear picture of how their chaotic moves have even helped the Ukrainians and led to friendly fire, destroying some of the sparse Russian personnel and equipment.
This leads not only to significant losses on the battlefield, but also to even more public problems for the Kremlin, as Russian officials struggle to find a solution and control the narrative which becomes more critical with every single day.
A massive fire at an oil depot in Proletarsk, Rostov region, has grown significantly, now covering an area of 10,000 m². The fire has been burning for three days, with 22 out of 70 fuel tanks engulfed in flames, twice as much as yesterday.
https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1825820169043587523
https://x.com/JayinKyiv/status/1825756545977618900
Bridges missing and smoke detected, that is a rough neighborhood.
He claims to have destroyed 45 targets with 44 missiles in six months. The debris from an exploding Russian missile is said to have destroyed another Russian missile. He also confirms prior reports that one only needs a single missile to intercept the Russian target.
Thanks to the hits marked on the TOC in front of which he was photographed, we can see from the visible part of the photo that this fire unit was not yet being used to shoot down reconnaissance drones or loitering munitions (at the time the photo was taken) and even how many targets the fire unit intercepted per mission.
https://x.com/deaidua/status/1825817753036403121
“A massive fire at an oil depot in Proletarsk, Rostov region, has grown significantly”
Reportedly (Denys Davidov), this is among the very largest such facilities in Russia.
Joe Blogs on YouTube posted a recent video on Russian hydrocarbon gross revenues.
In total, they are down about 1/3 from before the war, a loss of about $125 Billion per year (about $250/yr less than the price peak in the first few months of the war).
Not only pipeline gas, but also LNG sales are way down, as are refined petroleum products - all their most profitable hydrocarbon exports. Coal is up a bit in volume, but is a very small component of overall hydrocarbon revenue.
Crude oil export volume is roughly the same as before the war, but now only 16% is shipped on Western insured ships, subject to the price caps - the rest goes on the “dark fleet”. Indian imports (the single biggest by far) seem to be dropping significantly since secondary sanctions started in June.
Some sort of a crackdown has been announced on “dark fleet” ships, which often illegally sail with their transponders off, or can no longer pass maritime safety standards, but I did not catch the details.
The dark fleet is only insured by the Russian government.
Kremlin snuff box, 08/20/24
https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets
Why haven’t we declared war on Ukraine yet?
After the invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into the Kursk region , after the first wave of shock and misunderstanding of what was happening, offensive statements began to appear again. In particular, our colleagues are hinting that after what happened, Russia is literally obliged to declare war on Ukraine.
Here are three reasons why this won’t happen. At least for now.
Firstly, no one in the 21st century uses the word war. In particular, due to the fact that a declaration of war puts the country that decided to do so within certain limits. We are talking about the conditions for ending the conflict. Simply put, the war must end in victory for one of the sides. In the current situation, let’s be honest, it is hardly possible to talk about the presence of forces for us to take Kyiv and Lvov.
In the conditions of a hybrid conflict, which is the Northern Military District declared by Vladimir Putin, it is possible to be more flexible. Along the way, change the goals and conditions for ending the special operation, attract resources from third countries, and in general use the entire range of weapons, with the possible exception of nuclear weapons ( no matter how many hawks would like it ).
Secondly, we didn’t just talk about help from third countries. It is no secret that the Kremlin has established military cooperation with Iran, North Korea, China and a number of other countries. If Vladimir Putin declares war tomorrow, our allies will find themselves under serious pressure from the international community.
What is important here is China, which is one way or another tied to world markets. In the world’s understanding, the actual war between Russia and Ukraine is still a regional conflict. Although Kyiv is trying in every possible way to exaggerate this status, appealing to the need for Western countries to help Ukraine, thereby protecting themselves.
Thirdly, the use of nuclear weapons. Many of our hotheads either don’t understand or pretend that they don’t understand a simple thing. Nuclear weapons are an element of deterrence, not use. No one in the world knows what the reaction of the same world community will be if someone in Russia gives the order to use nuclear weapons against a non-nuclear state. Even if it’s tactical nuclear weapons.
Of course, NATO countries are helping Ukraine conduct military operations against Russia, but so far this is a low degree of involvement for the alliance. No one in our country is ready to answer what will happen if the United States, France and other countries actually start using the full range of their weapons against the Russian Federation. What then? Destroyed cities and the death of hundreds of thousands of citizens (if not millions)?
There is a clear understanding among the President’s circle that a declaration of war would be a demonstration of weakness, not strength. Nobody will take this step.
In Poland, three trucks loaded with military equipment intended for transfer to Ukraine burned down on the way from military warehouses to a national air force base.
The trucks contained helmets, body armor and boxes of mortar rounds.
The detonation of ammunition was heard by… pic.twitter.com/xTsxFpOU4L— Zlatti71 (@Zlatti_71) August 20, 2024
NATO, THE BLOODY ALLIANCE OF EVIL
‘War in Ukraine is a war of NATO enlargement’ – Jeffrey Sachs
Russia is Aggressively Approaching NATO
NATO has never defended anyone, but only attacked!!!
NATO exists to solve the problems created by NATO’s existence.
To justify its… pic.twitter.com/Q9q1pUaQ7O— Ignorance, the root and stem of all evil (@ivan_8848) August 11, 2024
‘War in Ukraine is a war of NATO enlargement’ – Jeffrey Sachs
Russia is Aggressively Approaching NATO
NATO has never defended anyone, but only attacked!!!
NATO exists to solve the problems created by NATO’s existence.
To justify its existence, NATO constantly needs an external enemies and conflicts
The biggest threat in the world is NATO.
Many predicted Nato expansion would lead to war Jack F. Matlock, Jr.
George Kennan
Bill Burns,
Stephen Cohen, Malcolm Fraser, John Mearsheimer, Robert Gates, William Perry, Noam Chomsky, Vladimir Pozner. Jeffrey Sachs, Sir Roderic Lyne.
Those warnings were ignored.
NATO is mafia wanting money to protect you.
Prof. John Mearsheimer: This decision to expand NATO into Ukraine was irresponsible in the extreme.
Putin will attack a NATO country after defeating Ukraine, but supposedly Ukraine needed to get into NATO so that Russia won't attack it.
‘It's in NATO's hands to stop the war' in Ukraine’, said Pink Floyd's founding member, lyricist and principal composer Roger Waters during an interview from New York.
In a world where Germany and Russia are friends and trading partners, there is no need for US military bases, no need for expensive US-made weapons and missile systems, and no need for NATO.
Every Western Leader Promised Gorbachev NATO Would Not Move. This was secretary of state Jim Baker's formulation, one inch, or maybe he said, two inches, one inch to the east. In other words, NATO would not move from Germany eastward toward Russia.
James Baker: “We understand the need for assurances to the countries in the East. If we maintain a presence in a Germany that is a part of NATO, there would be no extension of NATO’s jurisdiction for forces of NATO one inch to the east.” Feb 9, 1990 JAMES BAKER on NATO Videoinfographic: NATO’s Expansion
He made contact with the Russian Freedom Legion, was safely evacuated to Ukraine, and will now fight against Russian fascists.
https://x.com/igorsushko/status/1825957217155350604
“Of course, NATO countries are helping Ukraine conduct military operations against Russia, but so far this is a low degree of involvement for the alliance”
Great line, he realizes that a war with NATO would be a disaster seeing as limited help has caused Russia such a pinch
Massive explosions in Poland as Ukrainian military equipment goes up in smoke
In Poland, three trucks loaded with military equipment, which was supposed to be transferred to Ukraine, burned on the way from military warehouses to the national air base. The trucks were carrying… pic.twitter.com/tonhYzdEJj— Newspaper articles collection (@NewsArticleColl) August 20, 2024
Russia sinks or swims, based on the price of oil.
“BofA: Uptick in non-OPEC+ Oil Supply May Create Market Surplus in 2025”
By Julianne Geiger - Aug 20, 2024, OilPrice.com
“The oil market is bracing for a softer supply-demand balance, as highlighted in a recent report by BofA Global Research seen by RigZone. The report points to an uptick in non-OPEC+ oil production, particularly from Brazil, Guyana, Canada, and the United States, which is expected to grow by approximately one million barrels per day in 2024 and by 1.6 million barrels per day in 2025. This increase comes as OPEC+ considers reintroducing additional barrels to the market later in the year, potentially adding to the surplus.
At the same time, global oil demand growth is showing signs of slowing, driven in part by the increasing penetration of electric vehicles, especially in markets like China. BofA’s projections indicate that global oil demand will rise by around one million barrels per day in 2024 and by 1.1 million barrels per day in 2025. These figures suggest that the market could see a surplus of 700,000 barrels per day in 2025, leading to a significant build-up in both commercial and strategic oil inventories, the report suggests.
The report also forecasts that Brent crude oil prices will average $86 per barrel in 2024 before declining to $80 per barrel in 2025, reflecting the anticipated softer market conditions.
Adding to the complex picture, recent data points to weaker demand from China, a key oil importer. China’s crude oil imports from Russia dropped by 7.4% year-on-year in July, reaching their lowest level since September 2022. This decline is attributed to sluggish domestic fuel demand and slower economic growth, compounded by ongoing challenges in the Chinese property sector.”
Drones over Moscow.
Kyiv Independent:
“Russian air defenses allegedly downed ten Ukrainian attack drones overnight on Aug. 21 near Moscow in “one of the largest attempts to attack Moscow with drones to date,” Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin claimed.
Russia’s Defense Ministry claimed that the drones were allegedly downed in Moscow Oblast as they were heading towards the capital.”
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