Posted on 02/24/2024 5:59:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When a vehicle is captured and then lost in service with its new owners, it is only added as a loss of the original operator to avoid double listings. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it's not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
“Major grocery stores are closing, official reason Russians like mom and pop stores😂”
The Mom and Pop stores are the very ones that are going to be hit by Russia’s new VAT trap, come January.
Although the VAT rate was changed only marginally (from 20% to 22%), the threshold for which businesses must collect it was dropped significantly, so that small businesses are going from 0% to 22% VAT, in one wrenching jump.
As compared to Russia’s accelerating demographic decline, there was a slight increase of the birth rate in the USA from 2023 to 2024, reversing a longer term pattern of decline - primarily among Asian and Hispanic women.
CDC reports on recent American fertility rates (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr038.pdf):
“The provisional number of births
for the United States in 2024 was
3,622,673, increasing 1% from the
number in 2023 (3,596,017). The number of
births declined by an average 2% per
year from 2015 through 2020 and has
generally fluctuated since then.
The provisional number of births
declined 4% for Black women, 3% for
American Indian and Alaska Native
women, and less than 1% for White
women from 2023 to 2024. Births
rose 4% for Hispanic and 5% for
Asian women and were essentially
unchanged for Native Hawaiian and
Other Pacific Islander women.
or the Chinese PLA where the CCP wrote the book on all procedures - to do something different is an affront to the Parry and merits stern discipline.
Ah hah, now we know where the usuals came up with their pig head fake photos of Trump supporters and others. They are following directives from Russian “special services”
—
Cell phone SIM cards have little choice, disobey and they will be put in some other box in some other case in a dusty little used room.
“The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced a unilateral micro-ceasefire near Kupyansk and Pokrovsk”
Russia has been trying to capture Pokrovsk (pre-war population of 60K) for 15 months already - its highest priority, with 170,000 troops now dedicated to the effort, with tens of thousands of casualties already expended.
Winter is Coming.
And what might come with the bitter cold?
Kyiv Post (31 Oct):
Pentagon Approves Transfer of US Tomahawk Missiles to Ukraine, CNN Reports
“CNN reported on Friday (31 Oct) that a Pentagon assessment has concluded that the US has enough Tomahawk long-range missiles to provide them to Ukraine without impacting its ability to defend itself – leaving the final decision on the matter entirely in the hands of US President Donald Trump.
The American news outlet cites “three US and European officials familiar with the matter” as their source for this information.”
Putin should have taken the deal.
...but you can’t fool all the people, all the time.
Russian’s are feeling the pain, and expectations are lowering.
Significantly, Russian perceptions of the likelihood of political improvements peaked six months ago, having risen since 1991, and have dropped substantially in these last six months (from 71% to 56% positive) - a generational change, after 34 years.
The Winter of Discontent approaches - because of Putin, The Doom of Russia.
Kyiv Post (31 Oct):
Polls Show Russians Losing Confidence in Putin Following Failed Trump Talks
“Optimism in Russia has plunged after Putin’s failed Trump talks and deteriorating economic conditions, leaving confidence in the government at a record low... new data from independent pollster Levada Center show...
...While a (slight) majority of Russians still believe that conditions will improve, the share of such optimistic respondents has declined sharply over the past six months...
The survey found that just 56 % expect a political improvement in the coming months and 51 % anticipate economic betterment – both figures representing the lowest levels recorded since early 2023.
In March, those numbers were 71% and 58% respectively.
Furthermore, only 58 % of respondents believe the current government will be able to improve the country’s situation within the year, down from 68 % in March – also the weakest since 2023.
“Sustained optimism has been eroding in recent months,” Levada wrote, noting that the share of respondents expecting near-term economic improvement rose consistently since 1994, peaked in May 2024 at 64 %, and has been dropping since.
The downturn appears to have started in mid-2024, coinciding with signs of an economic slowdown...
...As a result, not only has the number of respondents expecting worsened economic conditions grown (28 % versus 21 % in March), but the share of those uncertain about the future has jumped to 22 % from 16 % in July.
A similar trend is observed in expectations about political developments.
Evaluations had improved since the early 1990s, reaching a peak six months ago – but now, just over half (56 %) expect political conditions to improve, a drop of 15 percentage points since March.
The dip in sentiment is confirmed by other pollsters such as the Public Opinion Foundation (FOM), which began to see the most common response to questions about whether life in the country or the family would change within six to 12 months revert to “won’t change” rather than “will get better.”
By late September, only 27 % of respondents said they expected life in the country to improve – the lowest since 2021 – and 34 % said the same about their family’s life, which is the lowest since 2022.”
It will be interesting ho see if the fertility rate among US citizens increases or decreases for Trump years 2026 and 27, relative to the Biden years of 2023 and 24. I don’t know what the figures would be for the people who are leaving or being thrown out, who typically have a higher birth rate. 2025 would be a very questionable year given all the hopes and fears held by people with different political views and hopes/expectations for who might win the Nov. 2024 election. Probable a number of people decided to hold off having a child until they knew who won and could see how they would govern.
Mark Steyn notes:
“In 1927 (the earliest available numbers, per L’Histoire démographique de la Russie 1927–1959 by Messrs Andreev, Darski and Kharkova) the birth rate per 1,000 people was 49.6 - and the total fertility rate was 6.73 children per woman.
That’s the manpower that held off the Krauts at Leningrad.
By 2000 - that’s the generation in the Ukraine meat grinder - the birth rate per 1,000 people had fallen from 49.6 to 8.6, and the total fertility rate was down from 6.73 to 1.19. (since 2000 it has declined further, to 0.89)
The nation that held off the Siege of Leningrad no longer exists. This war is only fightable because Ukraine’s demographics are even worse.”
Orban called on the carpet next week, over his imports of Russian energy.
Kyiv Independent (31 Oct):
“U.S. President Donald Trump said on Oct. 31 that Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban had asked Washington for an exemption from newly announced sanctions targeting Russia’s oil sector.
“The President — he has asked for an exemption. We haven’t granted one, but he has asked. He’s a friend of mine,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One...
...Orban, a close Trump ally who is expected to visit Washington next week for his first bilateral meeting with the U.S. president since returning to power in January, confirmed earlier that he would seek exemptions.”
We have an inventory of up to 5000 tomahawks. Tomahawks are a ship based missile. There are a scant few land based platforms (heavy duty trucks) for launching them. There are not enough to send to Ukraine.
Trump may send Ukraine other missiles via NATO. But Tomahawks will not be happening. Germany and Sweden should be building Tomahawk land based platforms from blueprints in circulation. If Trump is really anti-wars, then he should order more truck platforms be built.
Drill Baby, Drill...
OilPrice.com (31 Oct):
“Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) topped Wall Street expectations for the third quarter, posting $8.1 billion in adjusted earnings, or $1.88 per share—up from $7.1 billion in Q2—on record output from Guyana and the Permian Basin.”
Drill Baby, Drill...
OilPrice.com (31 Oct):
“Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) topped Wall Street expectations for the third quarter, posting $8.1 billion in adjusted earnings, or $1.88 per share—up from $7.1 billion in Q2—on record output from Guyana and the Permian Basin.”
There have been multiple Ground-based launchers for the Tomahawk, both fielded and in development (the Army’s Typhon, the smaller truck mounted LRF, the Air Force’s old BGM-109G Gryphon mobile ground launcher). Tomahawks have also been adapted for Air launching, from different aircraft. Naval launchers could be bolted down to a fixed pad somewhere, or a whole new launcher configuration could be rapidly developed - its not rocket science (little pun there).
It seems that the Services are looking toward different Intermediate Range missiles for the future, like hypersonics and things like the Army’s Precision Strike Missile (PrSM), so Tomahawks may not be as critical to War Plans going forward.
“If Trump is really anti-wars, then he should order more truck platforms be built.”
Since withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty in 2019, there has been a rush of development of competitors to Tomahawk, and a lot of emphasis on stealthy and mobile launchers, like light truck mounted, or mounted inside standard looking shipping containers.
The Marines have really been out there exercising them in the Pacific, to learn practical lessons, and refine the requirements.
Same as other missiles, you put Tomahawks on a heavy duty truck to make them mobile. To launch, then dive for cover, to not be destroyed aka shoot n scoot.
There are only 5-6 of these Tomahawk trucks (platforms) in existence. Oshkosh manufactures heavy duty trucks for missile launchers. They are stalled out at building them for Tomahawks. Ask your favorite AI for more on this ridiculous situation.
All Tomahawk launchers are based on the Mark 41 VLS modules, which are fairly simple, plentiful and vehicle agnostic. OshKosh makes several trucks suitable for strike length MK41 modules, as do many other manufacturers. A standard semi tractor trailer or even box truck could be adapted. The truck they used for the USMC launcher was just a 4x4 Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV) modified for autonomous use (remote driver or self driving). The US Army is finding the Typhon system so unwieldy that they are looking at the smaller USMC system themselves.
All that said, I agree that Ukraine is unlikely to get Tomahawk, at least not in any numbers. There are other systems we are more likely to provide.
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