Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

“the United States approved the sale of 3,350 Extended Range Attack Munition (ERAM) air-launched missiles to Ukraine and reported that the systems will arrive in Ukraine in six weeks (about mid-October 2025).”

Another month for OPEC+ to ramp up production further, before Russian oil is pulled off the market.

Hundreds of ERAMs, plus secondary freeze damage, can impose an epic train wreck for Russian oil exports and domestic fuel supplies. Russia has little surplus capacity available to buffer such kinetic damage.

Their Center of Gravity is Strategically vulnerable.

"Their Center of Gravity is Strategically vulnerable."

The cards being played right now are Ukraine building Flamingo cruise missiles. receiving longer ranged and more capable cruise missiles and hitting Russian energy production harder. OPEC is sweetening the deal for India to move away from Russian energy.

It is really easy to see that next moves are for Ukraine to go all in on attacking Russian energy production and India to cut Russian energy purchases as much as possible. This is all moving forward and getting press right after Putin walks back from the Alaska meeting.

Almost as if it was Trump's plan all along to end the war or sink the Russian economy. Not that the MSM will give Trump any credit for it.

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, August 25, 2025

Ukrainian forces continue to pressure the Russian penetration east and northeast of Dobropillya. Ukrainian military observer Kostyantyn Mashovets reported on August 25 that Ukrainian forces seized Nove Shakhove (east of Dobropillya) and Zapovidne (southeast of Dobropillya and the western bound of the base of the Russian penetration).[1] Mashovets stated that Ukrainian forces pushed out Russian forces from positions near the T-0514 Dobropillya-Kramatorsk highway and south of Vesele (northeast of Dobropillya). Mashovets added that Ukrainian forces have almost completely cleared Kucheriv Yar (east of Dobropillya). Mashovets’ August 25 report follows reports from Ukrainian military officials since August 15 that Ukrainian forces continue to clear settlements at both the northern extent of the Russian penetration and along the base of the penetration.[2] Ukrainian Commander-in-Chief General Oleksandr Syrskyi stated on August 24 that Ukrainian forces had seized Volodymyrivka, (southeast of Dobropillya and the eastern bound of the base of the Russian penetration), and Ukrainian advances along the western and eastern bases of the penetration indicate that Russian forces are failing to expand the width of the penetration to the extent necessary to sustain the depth of the penetration.[3] Mashovets reported on August 25 that these Ukrainian counterattacks threatened to encircle elements of the Russian 51st Combined Arms Army ([CAA], formerly 1st Donetsk People's Republic Army Corps [DNR AC], Southern Military District [SMD]) operating within the penetration north of the Zapovidne-Mayak-Volodymyrivka line.[4] Mashovets reported that the command of the 51st CAA created an assault group that aimed to break through Ukrainian forces and reach the Russian forces within the penetration. Mashovets added that elements of the 1st Motorized Rifle Brigade (51st CAA) had regrouped and attempted to defend against Ukrainian counterattacks at the western part of the base near Zapovidne. Mashovets had reported on August 18 that elements of the Russian 8th CAA (SMD) had been attempting to outflank and threaten Ukrainian forces counterattacking at the eastern part of the base near Volodymyrivka.[5] These various recent reports of Ukrainian advances in the area, coupled with the lack of reporting about Russian advances or successful reinforcement missions within the penetration, indicate that the efforts of both the 51st CAA and 8th CAA to defend the base of the penetration may have failed at this time.

The Russian military command has reportedly given up efforts to exploit the penetration toward Dobropillya, after Russia's infiltration tactics appear to have been unsuccessful in establishing enduring positions within this penetration. Mashovets stated on August 25 that the command of the 51st CAA is now preparing for assaults directly against Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad (east of Pokrovsk), indicating that the 51st CAA has reverted back to its original plan following a brief shift in focus on exploiting the penetration northeast of Dobropillya.[6] Mashovets’ report and the recent Ukrainian advances within the penetration indicate that Russian forces likely have not established enduring positions within the salient. Russian milbloggers’ reporting about the penetration near Dobropillya has also significantly decreased in recent days and shifted back to focusing on activity north, east, and southwest of Pokrovsk instead — further suggesting that Russian forces have been unsuccessful in consolidating and exploiting the penetration and are shifting their focus back on Pokrovsk directly. Russian milbloggers have warned in the past week that the penetration near Dobropillya was too narrow relative to its depth, creating vulnerabilities to Ukrainian counterattacks and interdiction.[7] Russian milbloggers also previously warned that Russian forces had to widen the penetration's flanks to sustain the penetration, which Russian forces have failed to do so far.[8] ISW previously assessed that Russian infiltration tactics and a low manpower density along the front in the Pokrovsk direction seemed to have allowed Russian forces to temporarily restore limited, tactical maneuver east and southeast of Dobropillya, but Russia's inability to establish logistics to support and reinforce the forward units operating within the penetration have degraded Russia's ability to widen and exploit the penetration.[9]

Russian authorities recently detained Acting Kursk Oblast Vice Governor Vladimir Bazarov, likely as part of the Kremlin's continued efforts to scapegoat local officials for Russian border security failures. Acting Kursk Oblast Governor Alexander Khinshtein told Kremlin newswire TASS on August 25 that Russian law enforcement detained Bazarov as part of a larger criminal case investigating the embezzlement of funds that Russian authorities previously allocated for the construction of defensive fortifications in the Belgorod Oblast border areas during Bazarov’s tenure in the Belgorod Oblast administration.[16] Khinshtein claimed that Bazarov embezzled one billion rubles (roughly $12.4 million) of these funds.[17] Russian authorities previously detained former Kursk Oblast Governor Alexei Smirnov, former Bryansk Oblast Vice Governor Nikolai Simonenko, and former Belgorod Oblast Vice Governor Rustem Zainullin on similar embezzlement charges.[18] Russian President Vladimir Putin also notably dismissed Russian Minister of Transport and former Kursk Oblast Governor Roman Starovoit on July 7, just prior to Starovoit’s reported suicide on July 7.[19] ISW continues to assess that these arrests and personnel changes are part of a concerted Kremlin effort to use border oblast officials as scapegoats for Russia's failure to repel the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast in August 2024.[20] The Kremlin is likely also trying to scapegoat local officials for Russia's failure to repel Ukrainian cross-border raids into Belgorod Oblast in 2023 and 2024.[21]

Ukraine's Western partners continue to provide military aid to Ukraine, including through the purchase of US weapons and joint production ventures. German Vice Chancellor and Minister of Finance Lars Klingbeil announced on August 25 that Germany will allocate nine billion euros (roughly $10 billion) to Ukraine annually for the next two years.[22] NATO announced on August 24 that Canada will finance a $500 million aid package to purchase US military equipment for Ukraine through the Prioritized Ukrainian Requirements List (PURL) initiative.[23] Ukrainian Minister of Defense Denys Shmyhal announced on August 24 that Ukraine and Canada signed a joint defense production agreement that will simplify the establishment of Ukrainian defense industrial companies in Canada, facilitate technology exchanges, and help provide Ukrainian forces with modern weapons and military equipment in the long term.[24] Shmyhal and Lithuanian Defense Minister Laurynas Kasciunas similarly signed a letter of intent on August 25 on the joint production of defense products in both countries, with an emphasis on the joint production of long-range drones.[25]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-25-2025

Day 1,279 of the Muscovian invasion. 890 [average is 842/day], i.e. more than 37 Russians and Norks/h. Vehicles and fuel tanks more than 105% and artillery more than 30% above average.

Кремлевская табакерка

Strange things are happening around mobilization and demobilization. What will happen in the fall?

Our sources among the military and in the Kremlin provided interesting information about mobilization and partial demobilization. At the same time, individual insiders contradict each other, which means that there is no clarity in these issues yet.

Firstly, Valery Gerasimov once again stated that around September 15-20, Vladimir Putin will announce a new serious mobilization. And he claims that he received such information personally from the president. The Ministry of Defense did not confirm the exact dates, but notes that “they are carrying out certain measures in order to be ready for mobilization, just in case.”

Secondly, the Kremlin does not confirm the dates named by Gerasimov. And they note that no decisions on mobilization have been made at the moment. Whether there will be such decisions, the interlocutors in the Presidential Administration refuse to say.

Thirdly, we managed to find out new data on the possible partial demobilization. Back in mid-August, the Kremlin said that clarity on this issue “will be in the next few days.” But since then, no additional information has been provided.

“We made a statement about clarity the other day before the visit of Vladimir Vladimirovich to Alaska. But after him, everything became even more confused. At the same time, I personally expect partial demobilization, it will affect those who were mobilized in 2022. Expect positive news in October,” our source in the Presidential Administration said. We asked for more specifics, but he refused to provide it. At the same time, he assured that “everything will be fine.” The fact that partial demobilization is possible in the fall is also evidenced by the fact that comprehensive preparations are underway for the return of several tens of thousands of veterans of the NWO from the army. We wrote about it in detail in July.

https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6095

Zapad 2025 is a scheduled Russian-Belarusian joint strategic military exercise, to be conducted in Belarus on 12–16 September 2025.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zapad_2025

Zapad 2021 was the main logistical operation for the invasion of Ukraine
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zapad_2021

Russian forces continue using Kherson region residents as “training targets” for drone strikes. This time, a Russian drone dropped a grenade on a man walking with his dog. The cruelty of these attacks speaks for itself.

https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3lxalbh63wc2e

Ukrainian drone strikes on ten Russian oil refineries have disabled at least 17% of the refining capacity of the aggressor country.

Reuters reported on this. They calculated that this figure is approximately 1.1 million barrels per day. According to Reuters, these attacks have disrupted Moscow's oil refining and exports, caused gasoline shortages in some parts of Russia, and were a response to strikes on Ukraine's gas and energy infrastructure.

https://militarnyi.com/en/news/reuters-ukrainian-strikes-on-10-oil-refineries-knock-out-17-of-russia-s-refining-capacity/

North Korea Tests New Air Defense Missiles Amid Russian Cooperation

North Korea has tested two new types of surface-to-air missiles for its air defense systems amid growing military cooperation with Russia, state news agency KCNA reported. The launches took place on August 23rd at a missile test range in North Korea. According to KCNA, the missiles were fired at various targets, including strike drones and cruise missiles, to verify their stated capabilities. KCNA did not provide technical details, but analysts say the upgrades may have been made possible through military-technical cooperation with Moscow.

Since signing a Treaty on Comprehensive Strategic Partnership, Russia has transferred Pantsir-S1 air defense systems to Pyongyang to strengthen defenses around the capital. Russian systems have also been spotted on North Korea's newest missile destroyer, including the naval version of the Pantsir-S1.

Kyrylo Budanov, head of Defence Intelligence of Ukraine, has said Russia had provided technical support to improve the KN-23 ballistic missile, having reduced its margin of error, having significantly boosted accuracy and effectiveness. Budanov also said Moscow planned to help North Korea establish production of long-range Shahed-136 kamikaze drones of Iranian origin, as well as the local versions of Garpiya and Geran-2 drones.

Militarnyi previously reported that Pyongyang had supplied Russia with ammunition, weapons and other military aid worth tens of billions of dollars. Most of the revenue (about $19.2 billion) came from artillery shells of 122 mm and 152 mm caliber, multiple rocket launchers, Bulsae-4 anti-tank missiles and KN-23 ballistic missiles.

https://militarnyi.com/en/news/north-korea-tests-new-air-defense-missiles-amid-russian-cooperation/

Russia plans withdrawal from European Convention preventing torture.

Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin on Aug. 25 signed a resolution calling for Moscow to withdraw from the European Convention for the Prevention of Torture. Despite Russia remaining a signatory to the convention, Russian war crimes and the torture of Ukrainian civilians and troops have been repeatedly documented. The resolution calls for Russian President Vladimir Putin to withdraw Russia from the decades-old agreement.

Ukrainian Journalist Viktoriia Roshchyna disappeared in August 2023 and died in the fall of 2024 after being tortured in Russian captivity. Roschyna’s body was returned to Ukraine in February with missing organs.

https://kyivindependent.com/russia-plans-withdrawal-from-european-convention-preventing-torture/

Iran: Russia reportedly introduced a draft resolution to extend the snapback mechanism deadline, according to unspecified informed sources speaking to UK-based Amwaj Media on August 25.[18] The informed sources stated that China will reportedly co-sponsor the draft resolution.[19] The draft resolution would extend the snapback deadline by six months until April 2026 and reportedly prevent the E3 from being able to trigger the snapback mechanism during the six-month extension period.[20] Iran previously rejected an offer by the E3 to extend the snapback deadline, so it is unclear whether Iran will support the Russian draft proposal.[21] This report comes after Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Iranian Foreign Affairs Minister Abbas Araghchi held separate phone calls with their Russian counterparts, President Vladimir Putin and Foreign Affairs Minister Sergei Lavrov, respectively, to discuss, among other issues, potential snapback sanctions.[22] Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister for Legal and International Affairs Kazem Gharibabadi called Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu on August 24 to discuss a diplomatic resolution to the nuclear issue.[23]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/iran-update-august-25-2025

Occupied Melitopol, Zaporizhia region of Ukraine. The operator says - I passed 12 gas stations, there is no gasoline anywhere, none, neither AI-92 nor AI-95This situation has been going on for 2 weeks

https://x.com/evgen1232007/status/1960053899697791323
1 min video

Occupied Crimea. The operator says - “They just brought AI-95 yesterday, I was very surprised, but it was taken apart in a day. No gasoline again....then words of indignation....”

https://x.com/evgen1232007/status/1960072755425997082
Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation Alexander Novak, following a meeting on the situation in the fuel market, instructed the Ministry of Energy to monitor the situation in the oil products market to reliably provide the domestic market with fuel and maintain a balance of prices in the retail segment, the press service of the government reported.

The Ministry of Economic Development was instructed to analyze the parameters affecting the formation of retail prices for fuel. “Currently, there is a ban on the export of gasoline for all market participants, which will be extended,” the statement said.

https://www.interfax.ru/russia/1043960

Less gasoline => higher prices

This is how the Russian fuel train burned today in Zaporizhzhia. Sternenko shared footage of FPV drone strikes on a fuel convoy, finished off by Ronin operators from the 65th Separate Mechanized Brigade working with nearby units. Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder (OCD) is a prevalent psychiatric disorder affecting 1% to 3% of the global population, characterized by intrusive thoughts, known as obsessions, and repetitive actions, or compulsions. These symptoms affect patients not only by consuming a significant portion of their time but also by causing marked distress and functional impairment.

Obsessions
Recurrent and persistent thoughts, urges, or images that are experienced at some time during the disturbance are intrusive and unwanted and, in most individuals, cause marked anxiety or distress.

The individual attempts to suppress such thoughts, urges, or images with some other thought or action (ie, by replacing them with a compulsion).

Compulsions
Repetitive behaviors or mental acts that the person feels driven to perform in response to an obsession or according to rules that must be applied rigidly.

The behaviors or mental acts aim at reducing anxiety or distress or preventing some dreaded situation; however, these behaviors or mental actions do not connect realistically with what they are designed to or are excessive.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK553162/

Examples of compulsions are to step on or avoid stepping on certain things, such as cracks in the sidewalk, be the first to cross a border, fill in a certain number, etc.

Cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT) is an evidence-based psychotherapeutic intervention for OCD.

🇫🇮🇺🇸 During the closed part of the meeting, Finnish President Stubb called Kramatorsk and Slovyansk in Donetsk region “a Bastion against the Huns”, this impressed Trump, - WSJ

https://bsky.app/profile/maks23.bsky.social/post/3lwqdpj5lls2c >Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine (2 year anniversary)

08/24/2025 12:03:54 PM PDT · 19,367 of 19,391
AdmSmith to gleeaikin

Кремлевская табакерка

Putin was proposed to introduce a “tax on small children”. The situation with the birth rate in Russia is “terrible”

Our source in the Kremlin, who is responsible for demographic issues, drew attention to alarming statistics: sales of strollers, children's clothes and shoes have collapsed in Russia. This, he said, shows that “the situation with the birth rate is terrible, and tough measures need to be taken.” One of these measures should be a tax on childlessness, which we have repeatedly written about. “Recently, there have been discussions about whether to introduce a tax on childlessness, and when. To be honest, there are fears that if it is introduced this year, there will be unpredictable consequences. In the fall, serious mobilization is possible, important and critically necessary restrictions on the Internet, enemy shelling, it will be hot at the front, it is not clear what to expect in the economy. Against this background, the new tax may cause a complex reaction of the people, misunderstanding,” the channel's interlocutor said.

At the same time, according to him, an unequivocal decision has been made - there will be a tax on childlessness. So far, they want to introduce it in December, as planned. But it is possible to postpone the decision to next year - approximately to January-February. Decisions on this matter will be made later. But the childlessness tax may not be enough to solve the problems with the birth rate. In this regard, Vladimir Putin was offered to introduce another one - a tax on small children. “Such a tax will have to be paid by families who have only one child. And who do not plan to give birth to more. We will introduce a tax on childlessness, see how it works, and, I think, we will move on to payment for small children,” said another of our sources in the Presidential Administration.

A new tax is just being developed. We were promised to provide details about what it could be later. At the same time, the Kremlin calls the idea of introducing it “interesting and promising.”

https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6090

Russia has abducted more than 35,000 children over the past 10 years, a Yale University study has confirmed.

However, since the fullscale invasion in 2022, 1.6million youngsters have been cut off from the outside world and are effectively being held hostage by Russia. Abducted children were sent to at least 56 facilities - 13 in Belarus and 43 in Russia or occupied Ukrainian territory.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/2099143/stolen-children-putins-war-machine

Attack On Europe: Documenting Russian Equipment Losses During The 2022
Continuing on the Chinese peacekeeper topic: I’m not convinced China is truly ready to send peacekeepers, given that their last batch got lost in Ukraine and hasn’t been seen since. Here’s the list to help:
Rank-Name - DOB - Tag - Unit - MIA Date
Private Yan Dong 27.11.1989 AB-987545 255th MRB 04.05.2025
Private Yu Zhou 13.04.2000 MT-924527 10th Tank Regiment 19.10.2024
Private Yuan Shichen 10.07.1992 AB-973352 255th MRB 04.05.2025
Private Yuan Haoge 15.04.2001 AB-197098 33rd MRB 04.04.2025
Corporal Shi Honghua 16.11.1969 AV-783928 102nd MRB 29.05.2025
Private Zhang Qianfeng 10.10.1990 X-447752 102nd MRB 03.09.2024
Corporal Zhang Jiabin 22.12.1994 AB-973350 255th MRB 31.03.2025
Private Zhang Ke 21.01.1982 CA-032405 103rd MRB 16.04.2025
Private Zhang Renbo 27.07.1998 AB-197096 33rd MRB 04.04.2025
Junior Sergeant Zhang Wenlong 05.08.1993 MT-926878 102nd MRB 11.09.2024
Private Jiang Xinyu 05.04.1985 MT-923992 102nd MRB 03.09.2024
Private Zeng Hui 21.02.1972 AB-973348 255th MRB 08.12.2024
Private Wu De 10.11.1998 AB-659574 163rd Tank Regiment 07.04.2025
Private Tan Honglin 13.05.2002 AB-687991 102nd MRB 22.04.2025
Private Sun Wenhao 04.07.1997 AB-987549 255th MRB 03.05.2025
Private Ma Zongzhen 21.01.1989 AB-965378 242nd MRB 22.10.2024
Private Liao Liangbin 07.10.2005 AB-973343 255th MRB 03.05.2025
Private Liu Chenlin 30.09.1998 AB-973342 255th MRB 11.12.2024
Private Liu Tianyue 22.06.2003 AB-973340 255th MRB 09.04.2025
Private Li Mingyang 12.12.1994 MT-922110 102nd MRB 16.07.2024
Private Li Heng 17.11.1980 MT-923431 102nd MRB 23.04.2025
Private Wang Jinxin 04.03.1994 AB-973328 255th MRB 31.03.2025
Private Wang Weicheng 13.12.1993 AB-687968 102nd MRB 16.05.2025
Private Bi Yancheng 27.01.1995 AB-973325 255th MRB 11.12.2024
https://x.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1959290954260607049

Glad to see that Ukraine bombing of gasoline production is bringing the war to the consciousness of the Russian people. Meanwhile, here is some good news regarding the Russian attempt to take the small city Sumy, which stands between Russia and the much larger city Karkiv.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zcu-y-Jav2Y This is a 5:20 minute Video.

At the time Russian invaded in Feb. 2022, Karkiv had some 300,000 students enrolled in its major educational institutions. There was a lot of news then about how difficult it was for all the foreign students struggling to get home safely. Those from Africa were especially struggling, as they could not just blend into the local population as they looked for a way home. It would be a major loss if Russia were able to take Karkiv, so stopping them before Sumy will be a serious win for Ukraine.

Meanwhile back in the world of Russia ... Ukrainians see their whole effort to collapse the Russian economy about to collapse ...

Kremlin snuffbox, Aug 26 2025

Russian oil refineries want to protect themselves from enemy attacks with the help of religious processions

According to our source in the Kremlin, Patriarch Kirill has been instructed to organize and conduct religious processions near a number of oil refineries that have already been or may be subjected to enemy attacks.

In particular, they want to hold religious processions in Krasnodar Krai, Rostov, Saratov, Volgograd and Samara regions.

An order was also received to hold religious processions in Moscow and St. Petersburg to protect these cities from enemy drones and missiles.

Patriarch Kirill has accepted the task of holding religious processions. But he fears for those who will go and defend the oil refineries. According to our sources in the Church, the primate believes that it is dangerous to be near oil refineries and fuel warehouses now. And he does not rule out losses among the clergy and laity.

https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

Meanwhile, a major South Korean company has arranged for $50 billion worth of deals on US aircraft purchases as the SK President was meeting with Trump in the US:

https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4336786/posts?page=5

“Korean Air announced a $50 billion order on Monday (yesterday) for 103 Boeing airplanes and GE Aerospace engines and servicing, coinciding with the visit of South Korean President Lee Jae Myung to Washington.

The order, the largest in the Korean air carrier’s history, includes a mix of 787s, 777s and 737 Boeing airplanes worth about $36.5 billion.

Reuters first reported the deal earlier Monday.

Korean Air also announced a separate deal Monday with GE on the purchase and maintenance of engines valued at $13.7 billion.”

A lot of good jobs coming to the US with this order. I hope we have enough workers available to get the job done, or are these jobs that will be handled by AI and/or more robots?

A lot of good jobs coming to the US with this order.

—
And 600,000 new Han Chinese “students” imported by 47 to help build them. Win-win, art of the deal etc.

Ukraine's ongoing drone campaign targeting Russian refineries has destroyed 13-17% of Russia's fuel production capacity, per the WSJ and Reuters.

Gasoline rationing has hit Crimea and parts of Siberia, while fuel prices have spiked nearly 50% across Russia.

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/1960321770986082413

Local footage confirms heavy damage to storage tanks and infrastructure at the Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery, with parts of the site completely burned out. Recently, Ukrainian drones struck the oil refinery which halted its operation.

https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1960357996623532154

Drone operators from the 47th Mechanized Brigade, working with Ukraine’s Air Force, carried out a precise strike on a Russian UAV control point in the Northern Slobozhanskyi sector.

https://x.com/NOELreports/status/1960251815301149001

🍈

15,001 posted on 04/19/2025 6:00:31 AM PDT by JonPreston ( ✌ ☮️ )